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Septemvri Tervel vs Septemvri Dragoevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Septemvri Tervel and Septemvri Dragoevo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Tervel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Septemvri Tervel
35%
Draws
20%
Septemvri Dragoevo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Septemvri Tervel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Septemvri Tervel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Septemvri Tervel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 20%
Septemvri Dragoevo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Tervel Septemvri Dragoevo
Matches Played 26 7
Wins 19 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 2.69 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.65 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Septemvri Dragoevo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Tervel 85 / 100
Septemvri Dragoevo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Tervel Septemvri Dragoevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Tervel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Septemvri Tervel scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Septemvri Dragoevo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 7 matches.

Recent resilience: Septemvri Tervel stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Tervel VS Septemvri Dragoevo
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Tervel

(Home)
03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0
Septemvri Dragoevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1
Septemvri Tervel
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1
Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2
Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1
Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 6

Septemvri Dragoevo

(Away)
03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0
Septemvri Dragoevo
26 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
1 : 1
Benkovski
19 Sept
Volov Shumen
4 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
12 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
4 : 2
FK Riltzi
05 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 0 4 8:12 9
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 0 5 2:18 0
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