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Septemvri Tervel vs Volov Shumen

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Septemvri Tervel and Volov Shumen finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Tervel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Septemvri Tervel
6%
Draws
90%
Volov Shumen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Volov Shumen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Septemvri Tervel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Volov Shumen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Septemvri Tervel have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 10%
Volov Shumen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Tervel Volov Shumen
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 23 22
Draws 3 3
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 3.13 3.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Volov Shumen
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Septemvri Tervel
0:1
Mar 26, 2025 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Volov Shumen
2:0
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Septemvri Tervel
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Tervel 10 / 100
Volov Shumen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Tervel Volov Shumen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Tervel found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Septemvri Tervel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Volov Shumen conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Tervel VS Volov Shumen
3.13 Goals Scored 3.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291