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Stadium Background

Septemvri Tervel vs Volov Shumen

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Septemvri Tervel
20%
Draws
42%
Volov Shumen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Volov Shumen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Septemvri Tervel haven't matched Volov Shumen's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Volov Shumen's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Septemvri Tervel have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 10%
Volov Shumen Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Tervel Volov Shumen
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 20 21
Draws 4 3
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 2.67 3.39
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Volov Shumen
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Volov Shumen
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Septemvri Tervel
0:1
Mar 26, 2025 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Volov Shumen
2:0
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Septemvri Tervel
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Tervel 22 / 100
Volov Shumen 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Tervel Volov Shumen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Volov Shumen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Septemvri Tervel scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Septemvri Tervel remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Volov Shumen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 39% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Tervel VS Volov Shumen
1.88 Goals Scored 4.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Tervel

(Home)
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1
Septemvri Tervel
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1
Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2
Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1
Volov Shumen
24 May
Septemvri Tervel
4 : 1
Spartak Varna II
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Volov Shumen

(Away)
26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1
Volov Shumen
19 Sept
Volov Shumen
4 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4
Volov Shumen
05 Sept
Volov Shumen
9 : 0
Fratria II
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
3 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
4 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
5 Svetkavitsa 2014 7 4 1 2 13:5 13
6 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
7 Cherno More II 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
8 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
9 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
10 Septemvri Tervel 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
11 Septemvri Dragoevo 6 2 2 2 12:14 8
12 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
13 Fratria II 7 2 0 5 7:23 6
14 Devnya 2005 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 7 0 1 6 12:24 1
17 Dorostol 5 0 1 4 3:15 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)