Sport Picks
SER Caxias do Sul vs Gremio Maringa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie A 1978 Estadio Francisco Stedile, Caxias do Sul 
AI Match Summary
SER Caxias do Sul in this Serie A 1978 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SER Caxias do Sul.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gremio Maringa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- SER Caxias do Sul have won more games recently than Gremio Maringa.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Gremio Maringa taking it.
- Regular Serie A 1978 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
SER Caxias do Sul Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio Maringa Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SER Caxias do Sul | Gremio Maringa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 2.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 28, 1979 Serie A Betano
Gremio Maringa vs SER Caxias do Sul
0:0
Jul 13, 1978 Serie A Betano
SER Caxias do Sul vs Gremio Maringa
3:1
Apr 6, 1978 Serie A Betano
Gremio Maringa vs SER Caxias do Sul
0:0
Oct 30, 1977 Serie A Betano
Gremio Maringa vs SER Caxias do Sul
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SER Caxias do Sul 24 / 100
Gremio Maringa 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SER Caxias do Sul Gremio Maringa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gremio Maringa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gremio Maringa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
SER Caxias do Sul's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.
SER Caxias do Sul has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
SER Caxias do Sul VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
SER Caxias do Sul
(Home) 29 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0 Internacional de Limeira
22 Aug
Santa Cruz
2 : 0 SER Caxias do Sul
16 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2 Figueirense
09 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2 SER Caxias do Sul
26 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2 Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0 Internacional de Limeira
16 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2 Figueirense
26 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2 Botafogo PB
11 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0 Floresta EC
30 Jun
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 1 Anapolis
Page 1 of 4
Gremio Maringa
(Away) 05 Oct
Gremio Maringa
3 : 0 City London
28 Sept
Gremio Maringa
1 : 1 CA Cambe
20 Sept
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
3 : 3 Gremio Maringa
13 Sept
CA Cambe
1 : 0 Gremio Maringa
06 Sept
Gremio Maringa
2 : 0 Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
3 : 3 Gremio Maringa
13 Sept
CA Cambe
1 : 0 Gremio Maringa
30 Aug
City London
2 : 2 Gremio Maringa
21 Jun
Parana
6 : 2 Gremio Maringa
16 Jun
Paranavai-PR
2 : 1 Gremio Maringa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarani | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 13 |
| 2 | Internacional | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 3 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Goias | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 5 | Santos | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Botafogo PB | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 7 | Londrina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | 3 |
| 8 | Goytacaz | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3:16 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie A 1978 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Recife | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 17:9 | 10 |
| 3 | Ponte Preta | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Operario MS | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 6 | Portuguesa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Dom Bosco | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 8 | Volta Redonda | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie A 1978 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 9 |
| 4 | America RJ | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 5 | Coritiba | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 6 | Flamengo RJ | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | 5 |
| 7 | Noroeste | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:16 | 4 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie A 1978 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bahia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Vasco | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 11 |
| 3 | SER Caxias do Sul | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Corinthians | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 6 | Americano | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3:12 | 5 |
| 7 | Gremio Maringa | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 8 | Vitoria | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2:14 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie A 1978 (Play Offs)
