Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Seravezza Pozzi vs Follonica Gavorrano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Seravezza Pozzi host Follonica Gavorrano in the Serie D - Group E. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Follonica Gavorrano have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while Seravezza Pozzi have conceded 0.87 and scored 1.26. Head-to-head, Seravezza Pozzi have won 3 to Follonica Gavorrano's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.06, favoring Seravezza Pozzi. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Seravezza Pozzi
35%
Draws
37%
Follonica Gavorrano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Follonica Gavorrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Seravezza Pozzi's 1.26 goals per match outpaces what Follonica Gavorrano have produced (1.23).
  • Win probability leans Seravezza Pozzi's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 20%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seravezza Pozzi Follonica Gavorrano
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 13 12
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.26 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Follonica Gavorrano
2:1
May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Seravezza Pozzi
0:2
Dec 21, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Seravezza Pozzi
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seravezza Pozzi 36 / 100
Follonica Gavorrano 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seravezza Pozzi Follonica Gavorrano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seravezza Pozzi scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Follonica Gavorrano has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Seravezza Pozzi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Seravezza Pozzi VS Follonica Gavorrano
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Seravezza Pozzi

(Home)
18 Oct
Rondinella
0 : 0
Seravezza Pozzi
11 Oct
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 0
Flaminia
07 Oct
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 2
Lucchese
04 Oct
Siena
2 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
27 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
3 : 0
Terranuova Traiana
Page 1 of 7

Follonica Gavorrano

(Away)
18 Oct
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 1
Prato
11 Oct
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
04 Oct
Flaminia
1 : 1
Follonica Gavorrano
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1
Sasso Marconi
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2
Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prato 8 5 3 0 12:5 18
2 Follonica Gavorrano 8 4 4 0 11:5 16
3 Seravezza Pozzi 8 4 2 2 15:5 14
4 Lucchese 8 4 2 2 18:15 14
5 Siena 8 4 1 3 15:10 13
6 Tau 8 4 1 3 11:14 13
7 Ternana 8 3 3 2 13:8 12
8 Scandicci 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
9 Terranuova Traiana 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
10 Flaminia 8 3 3 2 10:11 12
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
12 Montevarchi 8 3 1 4 12:12 10
13 Mezzolara 8 1 6 1 7:9 9
14 Rondinella 8 2 3 3 6:10 9
15 Sasso Marconi 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
16 Grassina 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 SCD Progresso 8 1 0 7 4:17 3
18 Ghiviborgo 8 0 2 6 6:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)