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Seravezza Pozzi vs SC Cenaia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Mugelli F.
90'
Papini E.

AI Match Summary

Seravezza Pozzi in this Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Seravezza Pozzi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Seravezza Pozzi
30%
Draws
29%
SC Cenaia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Seravezza Pozzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Seravezza Pozzi lately — more wins on the board than SC Cenaia.
  • Model gives Seravezza Pozzi a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 68%
SC Cenaia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seravezza Pozzi SC Cenaia
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 20 2
Draws 14 9
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.47 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.81 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs SC Cenaia
1:0
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group E
SC Cenaia vs Seravezza Pozzi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seravezza Pozzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mugelli F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

SC Cenaia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seravezza Pozzi 86 / 100
SC Cenaia 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seravezza Pozzi SC Cenaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seravezza Pozzi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Seravezza Pozzi scored in 81% of their last 43 outings.

SC Cenaia let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Seravezza Pozzi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Seravezza Pozzi VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Seravezza Pozzi

(Home)
07 Oct
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 2
Lucchese
04 Oct
Siena
2 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
27 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
3 : 0
Terranuova Traiana
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3
Seravezza Pozzi
16 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 1
Montevarchi
Page 1 of 9

SC Cenaia

(Away)
05 May
Mobilieri Ponsacco
0 : 3
SC Cenaia
28 Apr
SC Cenaia
1 : 3
Ghiviborgo
21 Apr
Poggibonsi
4 : 1
SC Cenaia
14 Apr
SC Cenaia
1 : 1
Sangiovannese
07 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1
SC Cenaia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pianese 34 19 11 4 62:35 68
2 Follonica Gavorrano 34 18 11 5 44:25 65
3 Grosseto 34 16 15 3 53:33 63
4 Livorno 34 16 11 7 49:32 59
5 Tau 34 15 13 6 55:31 58
6 Seravezza Pozzi 34 17 6 11 49:40 57
7 Poggibonsi 34 15 7 12 48:42 52
8 Ghiviborgo 34 15 5 14 54:54 50
9 Figline 34 12 13 9 45:43 49
10 Sporting Trestina 34 11 10 13 43:45 43
11 Montevarchi 34 10 13 11 42:41 43
12 Sangiovannese 34 10 12 12 30:37 42
13 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 7 16 30:33 40
14 Orvietana 34 10 8 16 33:44 38
15 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 5 14 15 24:46 29
16 Real Forte Querceta 34 6 10 18 31:46 28
17 Mobilieri Ponsacco 34 2 14 18 33:60 20
18 SC Cenaia 34 3 10 21 29:67 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 (Play Offs)