Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serbia U16 vs Montenegro U16

World World

Friendly International 2025
Thu, Apr 10, 2025
2 - 1
02:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Millwood W. R.
90' Event
Sekularac M.
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Serbia U16 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serbia U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Serbia U16
15%
Draws
36%
Montenegro U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serbia U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Serbia U16 lately — more wins on the board than Montenegro U16.
  • Model gives Serbia U16 a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Serbia U16 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Serbia U16 Clean Sheet 17%
Montenegro U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serbia U16 Montenegro U16
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.77 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2025 Friendly International
Montenegro U16 vs Serbia U16
1:3
Apr 10, 2025 Friendly International
Serbia U16 vs Montenegro U16
2:1
Mar 6, 2025 Friendly International
Montenegro U16 vs Serbia U16
1:0
May 11, 2023 Friendly International
Serbia U16 vs Montenegro U16
2:0
Mar 2, 2023 Friendly International
Montenegro U16 vs Serbia U16
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serbia U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Millwood W. R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Montenegro U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sekularac M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia U16 57 / 100
Montenegro U16 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serbia U16 Montenegro U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serbia U16 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serbia U16 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Montenegro U16's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Serbia U16 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serbia U16 VS Montenegro U16
1.71 Goals Scored 1.88
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.75
86% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Serbia U16

(Home)
12 May
Serbia U16
1 : 2
Slovakia U16
09 May
Montenegro U16
1 : 3
Serbia U16
07 May
Serbia U16
2 : 0
North Macedonia U16
10 Apr
Serbia U16
2 : 1
Montenegro U16
08 Apr
Serbia U16
2 : 0
North Macedonia U16
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Montenegro U16

(Away)
12 May
Montenegro U16
2 : 1
North Macedonia U16
09 May
Montenegro U16
1 : 3
Serbia U16
07 May
Montenegro U16
3 : 0
Slovakia U16
10 Apr
Serbia U16
2 : 1
Montenegro U16
08 Apr
Montenegro U16
2 : 0
Hungary U16
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