Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serbia U19 vs Poland U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2026 Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe, Fafe
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Mazurek B.
46'
Sub
Mazurek B. In: Adkonis J.
Out: Mazurek B.
46'
Sub
Petrovic S. In: Kostic B.
Out: Petrovic S.

AI Match Summary

Serbia U19 in this Euro U19 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serbia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Serbia U19
15%
Draws
64%
Poland U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poland U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Serbia U19 haven't matched Poland U19's recent run of results.
  • Poland U19 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Serbia U19 Clean Sheet 26%
Poland U19 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serbia U19 Poland U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Euro U19
Serbia U19 vs Poland U19
1:0
Mar 28, 2023 Euro U19
Poland U19 vs Serbia U19
2:2
Nov 20, 2018 Euro U19
Poland U19 vs Serbia U19
1:4
May 31, 2008 Euro U19
Serbia U19 vs Poland U19
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serbia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cvetkovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Poland U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia U19 21 / 100
Poland U19 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serbia U19 Poland U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poland U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serbia U19's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Difficult form: Poland U19 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Poland U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Serbia U19 VS Poland U19
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serbia U19

(Home)
29 Sept
Serbia U19
0 : 4
Hungary U19
26 Sept
Serbia U19
1 : 3
Romania U19
24 Sept
Serbia U19
1 : 1
Bulgaria U19
05 Jul
Serbia U19
0 : 3
Croatia U19
02 Jul
Serbia U19
1 : 2
Ukraine U19
Page 1 of 6

Poland U19

(Away)
28 Sept
Slovakia U19
1 : 2
Poland U19
25 Sept
Poland U19
0 : 1
Switzerland U19
31 Mar
Scotland U19
3 : 0
Poland U19
31 Mar
Serbia U19
1 : 0
Poland U19
28 Mar
England U19
1 : 0
Poland U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U19 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Austria U19 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Greece U19 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Sweden U19 3 0 2 1 4:7 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia U19 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 England U19 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
3 Portugal U19 3 1 1 1 2:7 4
4 Poland U19 3 0 0 3 0:3 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U19 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 France U19 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Switzerland U19 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Norway U19 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U19 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Belgium U19 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Czech Republic U19 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Latvia U19 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U19 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Northern Ireland U19 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
3 Kazakhstan U19 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Romania U19 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U19 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Turkey U19 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Hungary U19 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Slovakia U19 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U19 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Netherlands U19 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Finland U19 3 1 0 2 1:7 3
4 Slovenia U19 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)