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Serbia U20 vs Mali U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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World Cup U20 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Milinkovic-Savic S.
56'
Milinkovic-Savic S.
57'
Sub
Gbakle D. In: Traore H.
Out: Gbakle D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Serbia U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Serbia U20
15%
Draws
40%
Mali U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serbia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mali U20 come out ahead of Serbia U20 on wins alone.
  • Serbia U20 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Mali U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Serbia U20, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Serbia U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Mali U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serbia U20 Mali U20
Matches Played 14 32
Wins 9 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 1.64 1.56
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2015 World Cup U20
Serbia U20 vs Mali U20
2:1
Jun 3, 2015 World Cup U20
Serbia U20 vs Mali U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serbia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Milinkovic-Savic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mandic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Mali U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia U20 77 / 100
Mali U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serbia U20 Mali U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serbia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U20 let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Serbia U20 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (14 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Serbia U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mali U20
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Serbia U20

(Home)
15 Nov
Serbia U20
0 : 1
Montenegro U20
09 Jun
Serbia U20
3 : 1
Greece U21
05 Jun
Israel U21
0 : 0
Serbia U20
20 Jun
Brazil U20
1 : 2
Serbia U20
17 Jun
Serbia U20
2 : 1
Mali U20
Page 1 of 3

Mali U20

(Away)
14 Jun
Mali U20
3 : 2
Japan U20
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 3
Mali U20
06 Jun
France U20
1 : 2
Mali U20
03 Jun
Mali U20
1 : 2
Panama U20
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U20 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
2 USA U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 New Zealand U20 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Myanmar U20 3 0 0 3 2:13 0
Promotion - World Cup U20 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup U20 2015 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ghana U20 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Austria U20 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Argentina U20 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
4 Panama U20 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup U20 2015 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U20 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Colombia U20 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Senegal U20 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
4 Qatar U20 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - World Cup U20 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup U20 2015 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia U20 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
2 Uruguay U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Mali U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Mexico U20 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
Promotion - World Cup U20 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup U20 2015 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U20 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Nigeria U20 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 Hungary U20 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 North Korea U20 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - World Cup U20 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup U20 2015 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U20 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Uzbekistan U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
3 Fiji U20 3 1 0 2 4:11 3
4 Honduras U20 3 1 0 2 5:11 3
Promotion - World Cup U20 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup U20 2015 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams