Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serbia U21 vs Ukraine U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Sports Center of FA of Serbia, Stara Pazova
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Milosevic J. In: Petkovic M.
Out: Milosevic J.
21' Event
Aleksic M.
Assist: Mijatovic J.
31'
Melnychenko M.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between Serbia U21 and Ukraine U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serbia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Serbia U21
30%
Draws
19%
Ukraine U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Serbia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ukraine U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Serbia U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Serbia U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Ukraine U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serbia U21 Ukraine U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.32 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 Euro U21
Serbia U21 vs Ukraine U21
1:0
Sep 6, 2024 Euro U21
Ukraine U21 vs Serbia U21
2:1
Nov 16, 2021 Euro U21
Ukraine U21 vs Serbia U21
2:1
Sep 3, 2021 Euro U21
Serbia U21 vs Ukraine U21
0:1
Mar 27, 2009 Friendly International
Serbia U21 vs Ukraine U21
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serbia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aleksic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ukraine U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia U21 85 / 100
Ukraine U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serbia U21 Ukraine U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serbia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Serbia U21 scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Serbia U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Ukraine U21 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Serbia U21 VS Ukraine U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Serbia U21

(Home)
25 Sept
Serbia U21
3 : 0
Iraq U23
30 Mar
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 2
Serbia U21
26 Mar
Kyrgyzstan U23
2 : 2
Serbia U21
18 Nov
Serbia U21
1 : 0
USA U21
14 Nov
Czech Republic U21
1 : 2
Serbia U21
Page 1 of 6

Ukraine U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Ukraine U21
2 : 2
Turkey U21
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
USA U21
3 : 1
Ukraine U21
31 Mar
Hungary U21
1 : 2
Ukraine U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 6 4 0 27:4 22
2 Norway U21 10 6 1 3 28:11 19
3 Ireland U21 10 5 4 1 24:12 19
4 Turkey U21 10 4 1 5 21:15 13
5 Latvia U21 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 1:51 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 1 0 28:5 28
2 Belgium U21 10 6 1 3 13:6 19
3 Scotland U21 10 5 1 4 19:11 16
4 Hungary U21 10 5 1 4 12:8 16
5 Kazakhstan U21 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 4:35 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U21 10 10 0 0 32:3 30
2 Georgia U21 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
3 Sweden U21 10 5 2 3 25:10 17
4 North Macedonia U21 10 4 0 6 8:15 12
5 Moldova U21 10 2 1 7 7:20 7
6 Gibraltar U21 10 1 0 9 3:31 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 8 2 0 35:10 26
2 Poland U21 10 7 1 2 24:10 22
3 Bulgaria U21 10 4 3 3 17:12 15
4 Kosovo U21 10 3 3 4 10:17 12
5 Estonia U21 10 2 1 7 7:31 7
6 Israel U21 10 1 0 9 5:18 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania U21 10 7 1 2 23:10 22
2 Finland U21 10 6 2 2 21:8 20
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 3 2 21:12 18
4 Albania U21 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
5 Montenegro U21 10 2 1 7 8:19 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 2 8 2:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 8 1 1 41:6 25
2 Ukraine U21 10 8 0 2 20:7 24
3 Serbia U21 10 5 1 4 13:18 16
4 Northern Ireland U21 10 3 2 5 10:10 11
5 Luxembourg U21 10 2 2 6 6:23 8
6 Azerbaijan U21 10 1 0 9 4:30 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 9 0 1 33:6 27
2 Croatia U21 10 7 1 2 20:14 22
3 Greece U21 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 3 1 6 11:24 10
5 Belarus U21 10 1 3 6 6:20 6
6 Andorra U21 10 0 3 7 4:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia U21 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
2 France U21 8 5 1 2 22:6 16
3 Austria U21 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
4 Cyprus U21 8 1 2 5 7:23 5
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 0 7 5:17 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 8 5 2 1 18:8 17
2 Czech Republic U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
3 Wales U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
4 Iceland U21 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
5 Lithuania U21 8 1 0 7 7:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)