Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serbia vs Austria

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Stadion Rajko Mitić, Belgrade
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Maksimovic N.
46'
Sub
Gudelj N. In: Mitrovic S.
Out: Gudelj N.
46'
Sub
Terzic A. In: Jovic L.
Out: Terzic A.

AI Match Summary

Serbia in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Serbia
15%
Draws
59%
Austria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Austria have won more games recently than Serbia.
  • Win probability leans Austria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Austria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Serbia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Serbia Clean Sheet 11%
Austria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serbia Austria
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.93 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 UEFA Nations League
Serbia vs Austria
2:0
Mar 20, 2025 UEFA Nations League
Austria vs Serbia
1:1
Jun 4, 2024 Friendly International
Austria vs Serbia
2:1
Oct 6, 2017 World Championship
Austria vs Serbia
3:2
Oct 9, 2016 World Championship
Serbia vs Austria
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serbia Compare

Top Goalscorer Maksimovic N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vlahovic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Austria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia 10 / 100
Austria 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serbia Austria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Austria has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Serbia scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

Recent resilience: Serbia stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serbia VS Austria
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Serbia

(Home)
27 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2
Netherlands
24 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2
Greece
05 Jun
Mexico
5 : 1
Serbia
31 May
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Serbia
31 Mar
Serbia
2 : 1
Saudi Arabia
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Austria

(Away)
27 Sept
Austria
3 : 1
Kosovo
24 Sept
Austria
3 : 1
Israel
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0
Austria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
22 Jun
Argentina
2 : 0
Austria
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Turkey 6
Hungary 1
Ukraine 3
Belgium 4
Austria 1
Serbia 3
Greece 3
Scotland 1