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Seregno Calcio vs Calcio Derthona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
73' Event

AI Match Summary

Seregno Calcio in this Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Seregno Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Seregno Calcio
35%
Draws
32%
Calcio Derthona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Seregno Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Calcio Derthona.
  • Seregno Calcio are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Seregno Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Calcio Derthona Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seregno Calcio Calcio Derthona
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.09 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Seregno Calcio vs Calcio Derthona
2:0
Oct 18, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Calcio Derthona vs Seregno Calcio
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seregno Calcio 36 / 100
Calcio Derthona 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seregno Calcio Calcio Derthona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seregno Calcio found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Calcio Derthona has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Seregno Calcio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Seregno Calcio VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Seregno Calcio

(Home)
14 May
Seregno Calcio
0 : 0
Breno
07 May
Desenzano Calvina
5 : 2
Seregno Calcio
30 Apr
Seregno Calcio
0 : 1
Breno
23 Apr
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Seregno Calcio
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
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Calcio Derthona

(Away)
06 May
Bra
1 : 2
Calcio Derthona
29 Apr
Calcio Derthona
1 : 1
Olginatese
22 Apr
Gozzano
6 : 1
Calcio Derthona
15 Apr
Calcio Derthona
1 : 3
Inveruno
08 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
1 : 1
Calcio Derthona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)