Sport Picks
Seregno Calcio vs Desenzano Calvina
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
Seregno Calcio play Desenzano Calvina in the Serie D - Group B 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Seregno Calcio averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Desenzano Calvina averaged 1.78 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Seregno Calcio won 0, Desenzano Calvina won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 7, 2023 ended 5:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Seregno Calcio and 1.43 for Desenzano Calvina. This points to a Desenzano Calvina double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Seregno Calcio picked up more points recently compared to Desenzano Calvina.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.43 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Seregno Calcio | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 22 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Seregno Calcio Compare
Desenzano Calvina Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Seregno Calcio scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Desenzano Calvina let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Seregno Calcio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Desenzano Calvina lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lumezzane | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 67:20 | 77 |
| 2 | Alcione Milano | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 67:31 | 71 |
| 3 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 38:26 | 59 |
| 4 | Arconatese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 54:37 | 57 |
| 5 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 47:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Franciacorta | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 44:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Ponte San Pietro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 47:38 | 49 |
| 8 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 42:40 | 48 |
| 9 | Brusaporto | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 10 | Varesina | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:50 | 46 |
| 11 | Villa Valle | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 40:47 | 41 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 7 | 18 | 9 | 30:33 | 39 |
| 13 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:46 | 39 |
| 14 | Seregno Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 42:56 | 38 |
| 15 | Breno | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 35:50 | 37 |
| 16 | Varese FC | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 30:46 | 33 |
| 17 | Sona | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:56 | 27 |
| 18 | Caronnese | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 24:64 | 15 |