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Seregno Calcio vs Sona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Perotta N.
36' Event
Santonocito L.
(Penalty)
61' Event
Perotta N.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Seregno Calcio in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Seregno Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Seregno Calcio
35%
Draws
40%
Sona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Seregno Calcio have won more games recently than Sona.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Seregno Calcio have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Seregno Calcio Clean Sheet 17%
Sona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seregno Calcio Sona
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.1 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Seregno Calcio vs Sona
3:1
Dec 4, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Seregno Calcio
0:0
Feb 28, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Seregno Calcio
0:2
Oct 11, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Seregno Calcio vs Sona
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seregno Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Silenzi C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sona Compare

Top Goalscorer Perotta N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seregno Calcio 31 / 100
Sona 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seregno Calcio Sona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seregno Calcio found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Sona has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Seregno Calcio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Seregno Calcio VS Sona
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Seregno Calcio

(Home)
14 May
Seregno Calcio
0 : 0
Breno
07 May
Desenzano Calvina
5 : 2
Seregno Calcio
30 Apr
Seregno Calcio
0 : 1
Breno
23 Apr
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Seregno Calcio
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
Page 1 of 6

Sona

(Away)
07 May
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 3
Sona
30 Apr
Sona
1 : 1
Real Calepina
23 Apr
Sona
3 : 2
Varesina
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)