Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Seregno Calcio vs Varese FC

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Seregno Calcio
33%
Draws
40%
Varese FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Varese FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Varese FC have won more games recently than Seregno Calcio.
  • Win probability leans Varese FC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Seregno Calcio Clean Sheet 19%
Varese FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seregno Calcio Varese FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Seregno Calcio vs Varese FC
0:0
Sep 18, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Varese FC vs Seregno Calcio
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seregno Calcio 28 / 100
Varese FC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seregno Calcio Varese FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seregno Calcio found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Varese FC let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Seregno Calcio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Varese FC
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lumezzane34245567:2077
2Alcione Milano34218567:3171
3USD Casatese341611738:2659
4Arconatese34169954:3757
5Desenzano Calvina341581147:4153
6Franciacorta3413111044:4350
7Ponte San Pietro341116747:3849
8Ciserano-Bergamo341461442:4048
9Brusaporto3412111143:3847
10Varesina341371447:5046
11Villa Valle349141140:4741
12Real Calepina34718930:3339
13Folgore Caratese341091537:4639
14Seregno Calcio3410111342:5638
15Breno341071735:5037
16Varese FC34891730:4633
17Sona34691928:5627
18Caronnese34292324:6415