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Sergipe U20 vs Falcon U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano U20
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AI Match Summary

The Sergipano U20 game between Sergipe U20 and Falcon U20 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Falcon U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Sergipe U20
15%
Draws
50%
Falcon U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Falcon U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Falcon U20 come out ahead of Sergipe U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Falcon U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Sergipano U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Falcon U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sergipe U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Falcon U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sergipe U20 Falcon U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 20
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 2.07 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa do Brasil U20
Sergipe U20 vs Falcon U20
1:0
Sep 5, 2026 Sergipano U20
Sergipe U20 vs Falcon U20
0:2
Jun 5, 2025 Sergipano U20
Falcon U20 vs Sergipe U20
2:0
May 14, 2025 Sergipano U20
Falcon U20 vs Sergipe U20
5:1
Jun 30, 2024 Sergipano U20
Sergipe U20 vs Falcon U20
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sergipe U20 10 / 100
Falcon U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sergipe U20 Falcon U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falcon U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sergipe U20's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Sergipe U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Falcon U20 let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sergipe U20 VS Falcon U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sergipe U20

(Home)
07 Oct
Nautico U20
6 : 2
Sergipe U20
30 Sept
Confianca U20
1 : 2
Sergipe U20
26 Sept
Sergipe U20
1 : 0
Lagarto U20
23 Sept
Sergipe U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
19 Sept
Desportiva Aracaju U20
3 : 1
Sergipe U20
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Falcon U20

(Away)
30 Sept
Falcon U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
27 Sept
Desportiva Aracaju U20
1 : 1
Falcon U20
23 Sept
Falcon U20
5 : 0
Guarany SE U20
19 Sept
Itabaiana U20
0 : 4
Falcon U20
16 Sept
Falcon U20
2 : 1
Confianca U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcon U20 7 6 1 0 19:2 19
2 Itabaiana U20 7 4 2 1 17:13 14
3 Desportiva Aracaju U20 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
4 Sergipe U20 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
5 Guarany SE U20 7 2 3 2 12:12 9
6 Confianca U20 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
7 Lagarto U20 7 1 3 3 7:8 6
8 Atletico Gloriense U20 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano U20 (Play Offs)