Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serik Spor vs Vanspor FK

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Ismail Ogan Stadium, Serik
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Cedric I.
Assist: Destici S.
14'
Kara B. C.
16'
Cedric I.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Serik Spor and Vanspor FK finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanspor FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Serik Spor
22%
Draws
60%
Vanspor FK
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Vanspor FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Vanspor FK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vanspor FK a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Serik Spor Clean Sheet 13%
Vanspor FK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serik Spor Vanspor FK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 1. Lig
Serik Spor vs Vanspor FK
1:6
Nov 29, 2025 1. Lig
Vanspor FK vs Serik Spor
0:1
Mar 26, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Serik Spor vs Vanspor FK
6:2
Nov 17, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Vanspor FK vs Serik Spor
1:2
Jan 27, 2024 2. Lig White Group
Vanspor FK vs Serik Spor
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serik Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Topalli J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Vanspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Cedric I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mamah K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serik Spor 19 / 100
Vanspor FK 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serik Spor Vanspor FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VFK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanspor FK let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Serik Spor found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Vanspor FK registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serik Spor VS Vanspor FK
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Serik Spor

(Home)
01 May
Boluspor
3 : 1
Serik Spor
25 Apr
Serik Spor
4 : 2
Hatayspor
19 Apr
Manisa FK
1 : 0
Serik Spor
12 Apr
Keciorengucu
0 : 0
Serik Spor
08 Apr
Serik Spor
1 : 6
Vanspor FK
Page 1 of 6

Vanspor FK

(Away)
01 May
Hatayspor
3 : 1
Vanspor FK
25 Apr
Vanspor FK
1 : 3
Istanbulspor AS
19 Apr
Umraniyespor
1 : 2
Vanspor FK
12 Apr
Vanspor FK
0 : 1
Manisa FK
08 Apr
Serik Spor
1 : 6
Vanspor FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)