Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serpa vs 1º Dezembro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Marques D.
61' Event
Carreira D.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D game between Serpa and 1º Dezembro finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Serpa
35%
Draws
40%
1º Dezembro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: 1º Dezembro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • 1º Dezembro haven't matched Serpa's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Serpa Clean Sheet 20%
1º Dezembro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serpa 1º Dezembro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.14 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Serpa vs 1º Dezembro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

1º Dezembro Compare

Top Goalscorer Carreira D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serpa 32 / 100
1º Dezembro 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serpa 1º Dezembro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Serpa scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

1º Dezembro has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Serpa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serpa VS 1º Dezembro
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Serpa

(Home)
01 Nov
Serpa
2 : 2
Portel
25 Oct
GD Alcochetense
3 : 1
Serpa
11 Oct
Serpa
2 : 0
Sintrense
26 Sept
Real SC
1 : 1
Serpa
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2
Louletano
Page 1 of 6

1º Dezembro

(Away)
31 Oct
Real SC
1 : 0
1º Dezembro
25 Oct
1º Dezembro
1 : 0
Vitoria Setubal
11 Oct
Lajense
0 : 1
1º Dezembro
13 Sept
1º Dezembro
1 : 1
Amora
06 Sept
Serpa
1 : 1
1º Dezembro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 7 5 1 1 15:6 16
2 Real SC 7 3 4 0 14:9 13
3 Juv. Evora 7 3 2 2 12:11 11
4 GD Alcochetense 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
5 Imortal 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
6 Serpa 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
7 Lajense 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
8 Santa Clara B 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
9 Amora 7 2 2 3 8:8 8
10 Vitoria Setubal 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
11 1º Dezembro 6 2 2 2 4:8 8
12 Lagoa 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
13 Portel 8 0 6 2 10:14 6
14 Aljustrelense 7 0 3 4 3:15 3
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)