Sport Picks
Serpa vs Estrela Vendas Novas Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Serpa in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serpa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Serpa lately — more wins on the board than Estrela Vendas Novas.
- Serpa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Serpa | Estrela Vendas Novas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 2 |
| Draws | 9 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 26 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 2.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Serpa Compare
Estrela Vendas Novas Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Estrela Vendas Novas has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Estrela Vendas Novas's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Serpa scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Serpa
(Home)Estrela Vendas Novas
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitano GC | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 57:14 | 58 |
| 2 | Amora | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 41:19 | 57 |
| 3 | Sintrense | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 39:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Moncarapachense | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 51 |
| 5 | Louletano | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 44:20 | 50 |
| 6 | Serpa | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 42:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Estrela da Amadora B | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 35:31 | 30 |
| 8 | Lagoa | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:35 | 30 |
| 9 | Industria | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 35:42 | 29 |
| 10 | Fabril do Barreiro | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 21:32 | 27 |
| 11 | Moura AC | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 27:50 | 26 |
| 12 | Operario | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 22:43 | 23 |
| 13 | FC Barreirense | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 31:47 | 22 |
| 14 | Estrela Vendas Novas | 26 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 12:66 | 5 |
