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Serpa vs Ferreiras

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Serpa Logo

Serpa

2 - 1
FT
Ferreiras Logo

Ferreiras

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Serpa in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serpa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Serpa
30%
Draws
0%
Ferreiras
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Serpa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Ferreiras haven't matched Serpa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Serpa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Serpa Clean Sheet 68%
Ferreiras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serpa Ferreiras
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.13 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Serpa vs Ferreiras
2:1
Dec 11, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Ferreiras vs Serpa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serpa 95 / 100
Ferreiras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serpa Ferreiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serpa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferreiras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Ferreiras's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Serpa scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Serpa VS Ferreiras
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serpa

(Home)
26 Sept
Real SC
1 : 1
Serpa
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2
Louletano
13 Sept
Lagoa
0 : 0
Serpa
06 Sept
Serpa
1 : 1
1º Dezembro
29 Aug
Serpa
2 : 0
Grandolense
Page 1 of 7

Ferreiras

(Away)
30 Aug
Ferreiras
0 : 3
Aljustrelense
22 Sept
Varzim
3 : 0
Ferreiras
16 Apr
Ferreiras
1 : 2
Atletico CP
08 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
3 : 1
Ferreiras
02 Apr
Serpa
2 : 1
Ferreiras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico CP 26 15 7 4 43:22 52
2 Lusitano GC 26 15 6 5 35:22 51
3 Juv. Evora 26 13 7 6 37:16 46
4 CD Rabo Peixe 26 13 6 7 33:19 45
5 Imortal 26 9 12 5 31:22 39
6 Fabril do Barreiro 26 11 6 9 31:26 39
7 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 10 9 7 37:33 39
8 Serpa 26 10 6 10 44:36 36
9 Oriental Dragon 26 10 6 10 35:36 36
10 SC Praiense 26 9 7 10 31:32 34
11 Esperanca de Lagos 26 7 10 9 28:38 31
12 SC Angrense 26 4 5 17 17:46 17
13 Olhanense 26 5 2 19 18:50 17
14 Ferreiras 26 3 7 16 17:39 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)