Sport Picks
Serpa vs GD Alcochetense
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 game between Serpa and GD Alcochetense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serpa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Serpa come out ahead of GD Alcochetense on wins alone.
- Serpa are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Serpa | GD Alcochetense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Serpa Compare
GD Alcochetense Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Serpa found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: GD Alcochetense conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Serpa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Serpa
(Home)GD Alcochetense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louletano | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 36:15 | 50 |
| 2 | Malveira | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 38:23 | 47 |
| 3 | Alverca B | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 49:32 | 47 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 36:23 | 46 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 33:22 | 41 |
| 6 | Sintrense | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 30:25 | 40 |
| 7 | Lagoa | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:34 | 39 |
| 8 | O Elvas CAD | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33:29 | 34 |
| 9 | Serpa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:34 | 34 |
| 10 | Oriental | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29:35 | 32 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 21:21 | 31 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 19:42 | 22 |
| 13 | Industria | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 20:45 | 14 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira | 26 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 20:56 | 14 |
