Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal

Grandolense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Taça de Portugal. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Grandolense have shipped 2.33 goals a game lately, while Serpa have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.42. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 1.38, favoring Serpa. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Serpa

15%

Draws

53%

Grandolense

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grandolense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Serpa lately — more wins on the board than Grandolense.
Win probability leans Serpa's way, sitting at 42%.
Serpa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Serpa Clean Sheet 17%

Grandolense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Serpa	Grandolense
Matches Played	36	3
Wins	17	1
Draws	7	0
Losses	12	2
Goals Scored	1.42	1
Goals Conceded	1.17	2.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.10	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serpa 41 / 100

Grandolense 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Serpa Grandolense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serpa scored in 81% of their last 36 games.

Grandolense let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

Recent resilience: Serpa stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Grandolense has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Serpa VS Grandolense

1 Goals Scored 0

1.75 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

75% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serpa

(Home)

16 Aug

Serpa

4 : 2

Vitoria Setubal

18 Apr

Oriental

2 : 1

Serpa

12 Apr

Serpa

0 : 1

Alverca B

04 Apr

O Elvas CAD

3 : 2

Serpa

22 Mar

Serpa

0 : 3

Juv. Evora

Page 1 of 8

Grandolense

(Away)

08 Sept

Moncarapachense

3 : 0

Grandolense

20 Oct

Sertanense

2 : 0

Grandolense

22 Sept

Maria de Fonte

2 : 3

Grandolense

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Montijo -

Atletico CP -

TBD -

Lagoa -

Nogueirense -

Naval 1893 -

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

Caldas SC -

Sintrense -

TBD -

AFS -

Covilha -

Mortagua FC -

TBD -

Leca -

Oliveirense -

Penalva do Castelo -

TBD -

Penafiel -

SC Salgueiros -

Sousense -

TBD -

Feirense -

Cinfaes -

SC Espinho -

TBD -

Leixoes -

O Elvas CAD -

Sao Roque -

TBD -

Leiria -

1º Dezembro -

Real SC -

TBD -

Academica -

Castro Daire -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Sacavenense -

SC Angrense -

TBD -

SC Farense -

Vila Pouca -

TBD -

Brito -

Ac. Fundao -

Guarda FC -

TBD -

Chaves -

Alcains -

Sertanense -

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Bombarralense -

TBD -

Vizela -

Fazendense -

Mocarriense -

TBD -

Figueirense -

GD Alcochetense -

Fayal -

C.F. Benfica -

Viana Alentejo -

Oliveira Hospital -

GD Sourense -

Uniao Montemor -

Juv. Evora -

Beira Mar -

Uniao Lamas -

Lusitano GC -

CF Os Belenenses -

Correlha -

AD Limianos -

Ferreiras -

Aljustrelense -

Serpa -

Grandolense -

Castrense -

Louletano -

Rebordosa -

FC Alpendorada -

Macao -

CF Os Gavionenses -

Anca -

TBD -

Sanjoanense -

Pacos de Brandao -

Machico -

Camacha -

Florgrade -

Sao Joao de Ver -

Pacos Ferreira -

AD Fafe -

TBD -

Lajense -

SC Barreiro -

FC Madalena -

TBD -

Lusitania FC -

CDC Montalegre -

Ponte da Barca -

TBD -

Amarante FC -

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Portalegrense -

Santo Antonio -

Olhanense -

TBD -

Messejanense -

Portel -

Santarem -

TBD -

Merelinense -

Atletico Arcos -

GD Os Nazarenos -

Vitoria Sernache -

Varzim -

Trofense -

Regua -

AD Marco 09 -

Maia Lidador -

Vila Mea -

Rebordelo -

GD Braganca -

Celoricense -

Pevidem -

Ermesinde -

Paredes -

Maria de Fonte -

Uniao Nogueirense -

Imortal -

TBD -

Tondela -

Malveira -

Mafra -

TBD -

Tirsense -

Fatima -

SB Castelo Branco -

TBD -

Vinhais -

UD Ovarense -

TBD -

Fornos de Algodres -

Os Marialvas -

Amora -

TBD -

Uniao Da Serra -

Uniao de Pombal -

Estrela Calheta -

TBD -

SC Vianense -

Minas de Argozelo -

TBD -

1/64-finals

TBD -

Lagoa -

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

TBD -

AFS -

TBD -

Leca -

TBD -

Penafiel -

TBD -

Feirense -

TBD -

Leixoes -

TBD -

Leiria -

TBD -

Academica -

Castro Daire -

Portimonense -

TBD -

SC Farense -

Vila Pouca -

Brito -

TBD -

Chaves -

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Bombarralense -

Vizela -

TBD -

Figueirense -

TBD -

Anca -

TBD -

Lajense -

TBD -

Lusitania FC -

TBD -

Amarante FC -

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Olhanense -

TBD -

Santarem -

TBD -

Imortal -

Tondela -

TBD -

Tirsense -

TBD -

Vinhais -

UD Ovarense -

TBD -

Amora -

TBD -

Estrela Calheta -

TBD -

1/32-finals

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Serpa vs Grandolense

Portugal

Serpa

Grandolense

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Serpa

Grandolense

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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