Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal

Serpa

Sun, Sep 20, 2026

1 - 2

02:00 PM

Louletano

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Vilela T.

54'

Aquino

106'

Martins D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Serpa

20%

Draws

48%

Louletano

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Louletano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence

Serpa haven't matched Louletano's recent run of results.
32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Louletano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Louletano, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Louletano here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 7%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Serpa Clean Sheet 68%

Louletano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Serpa	Louletano
Matches Played	33	35
Wins	12	21
Draws	9	8
Losses	12	6
Goals Scored	1.24	1.51
Goals Conceded	1.27	0.74
Expected Goals (xG)	1.21	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Taça de Portugal

Serpa vs Louletano

1:2

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Louletano vs Serpa

2:1

Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Serpa vs Louletano

0:0

Mar 16, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Louletano vs Serpa

2:0

Nov 30, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Serpa vs Louletano

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Aquino

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.93

Avg xA / game 0.6

Louletano Compare

Top Goalscorer Vilela T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Martins D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serpa 41 / 100

Louletano 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Serpa Louletano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serpa Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serpa's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Serpa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Louletano has conceded goals in 51% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Serpa VS Louletano

1.29 Goals Scored 1.13

1 Goals Conceded 1.13

71% Over 1.5 88%

43% Over 2.5 50%

14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serpa

(Home)

20 Sept

Serpa

1 : 2

Louletano

13 Sept

Lagoa

0 : 0

Serpa

06 Sept

Serpa

1 : 1

1º Dezembro

29 Aug

Serpa

2 : 0

Grandolense

16 Aug

Serpa

4 : 2

Vitoria Setubal

Page 1 of 7

Louletano

(Away)

20 Sept

Serpa

1 : 2

Louletano

12 Sept

Louletano

1 : 2

Santarem

06 Sept

Louletano

1 : 0

Lusitano GC

30 Aug

Castrense

0 : 1

Louletano

23 Aug

Caldas SC

2 : 4

Louletano

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

SC Salgueiros 2

Sousense 1

TBD -

Feirense -

TBD -

Estoril -

GD Alcochetense 8

Fayal 0

C.F. Benfica 3

Viana Alentejo 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Imortal -

TBD -

Tondela -

TBD -

Alverca -

Ermesinde 1

Paredes 3

Maria de Fonte 1

Uniao Nogueirense 0

TBD -

Famalicao -

Beira Mar 4

Uniao Lamas 3

Lusitano GC 1

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Fazendense 1

Mocarriense 0

TBD -

Figueirense -

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Malveira 2

Mafra 3

TBD -

Tirsense -

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Santarem -

TBD -

Merelinense 2

Atletico Arcos 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Caldas SC 1

Sintrense 3

TBD -

AFS -

TBD -

Moreirense -

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Portalegrense 0

Santo Antonio 3

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Anca -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 3

Pacos de Brandao 0

TBD -

Nacional -

Rebordosa 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 5

CF Os Gavionenses 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Serpa 2

Grandolense 0

Castrense 0

Louletano 1

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Fatima 3

SB Castelo Branco 1

TBD -

Vinhais -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Sacavenense 5

SC Angrense 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

Regua 0

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 1

Vila Mea 0

1º Dezembro 0

Real SC 1

TBD -

Academica -

CDC Montalegre 0

Ponte da Barca 1

TBD -

Amarante FC -

O Elvas CAD 9

Sao Roque 0

TBD -

Leiria -

Rebordelo 0

GD Braganca 4

Celoricense 1

Pevidem 0

Montijo 0

Atletico CP 4

TBD -

Lagoa -

Bombarralense -

TBD -

Vizela -

Ac. Fundao 0

Guarda FC 6

TBD -

Chaves -

UD Ovarense -

TBD -

Fornos de Algodres 0

Os Marialvas 4

Estrela Calheta -

TBD -

SC Vianense 8

Minas de Argozelo 0

Cinfaes 1

SC Espinho 0

TBD -

Leixoes -

Oliveirense 4

Penalva do Castelo 0

TBD -

Penafiel -

Covilha 0

Mortagua FC 1

TBD -

Leca -

Nogueirense 1

Naval 1893 3

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

Pacos Ferreira 0

AD Fafe 1

TBD -

Lajense -

Olhanense -

TBD -

Messejanense 0

Portel 8

Oliveira Hospital 1

GD Sourense 0

Uniao Montemor 1

Juv. Evora 4

SC Barreiro 2

FC Madalena 5

TBD -

Lusitania FC -

Correlha 1

AD Limianos 4

Ferreiras 0

Aljustrelense 3

Alcains 1

Sertanense 0

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Amora -

TBD -

Uniao Da Serra 5

Uniao de Pombal 0

Machico 2

Camacha 3

Florgrade 1

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Castro Daire -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Vila Pouca -

TBD -

Brito -

GD Os Nazarenos 0

Vitoria Sernache 3

Varzim 5

Trofense 1

TBD -

1/64-finals

SC Salgueiros 1

Feirense 0

TBD -

Estoril -

GD Alcochetense 2

C.F. Benfica 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Imortal 1

Tondela 5

TBD -

Alverca -

Paredes 5

Maria de Fonte 1

TBD -

Famalicao -

Beira Mar 0

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Fazendense 6

Figueirense 1

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Mafra 3

Tirsense 2

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Santarem 5

Merelinense 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Sintrense 0

AFS 2

TBD -

Moreirense -

ACDR Lamelas 4

Santo Antonio 1

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Anca 1

Sanjoanense 4

TBD -

Nacional -

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Serpa 1

Louletano 2

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Fatima 4

Vinhais 1

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Sacavenense 0

SC Farense 1

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 0

Real SC 1

Academica 4

Ponte da Barca 0

Amarante FC 2

O Elvas CAD 0

Leiria 2

GD Braganca 6

Celoricense 1

Atletico CP 4

Lagoa 1

Bombarralense 0

Vizela 1

Guarda FC 2

Chaves 3

UD Ovarense 0

Os Marialvas 1

Estrela Calheta 1

SC Vianense 3

Cinfaes 0

Leixoes 4

Oliveirense 1

Penafiel 2

Mortagua FC 0

Leca 2

Naval 1893 0

FC Felgueiras 2

AD Fafe 4

Lajense 0

Olhanense 1

Portel 0

Oliveira Hospital 3

Juv. Evora 2

FC Madalena 1

Lusitania FC 3

AD Limianos 3

Aljustrelense 0

Alcains 0

Vitoria Setubal 2

Amora 3

Uniao Da Serra 4

Camacha -

Florgrade -

Castro Daire 0

Portimonense 1

Vila Pouca 0

Brito 5

Vitoria Sernache 2

Varzim 1

TBD -

1/32-finals

SC Salgueiros -

Estoril -

GD Alcochetense -

Maritimo -

Tondela -

Alverca -

Paredes -

Famalicao -

CF Os Belenenses -

Arouca -

Fazendense -

Estrela da Amadora -

Mafra -

Santa Clara -

Santarem -

Gil Vicente -

AFS -

Moreirense -

ACDR Lamelas -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Sanjoanense -

Nacional -

FC Alpendorada -

Casa Pia -

Louletano -

Rio Ave -

Fatima -

Academico Viseu -

SC Farense -

AD Marco 09 -

Academica -

Amarante FC -

Leiria -

GD Braganca -

Atletico CP -

Vizela -

Chaves -

Os Marialvas -

SC Vianense -

Leixoes -

Penafiel -

Leca -

FC Felgueiras -

AD Fafe -

Olhanense -

Oliveira Hospital -

Lusitania FC -

AD Limianos -

Vitoria Setubal -

Uniao Da Serra -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Brito -

Vitoria Sernache -

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Serpa vs Louletano

Portugal

Serpa

Louletano

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Serpa Compare

Louletano Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Serpa

Louletano

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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