Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2021/2022

Serpa

4 - 0

Olivais e Moscavide

Our Tip

Match Events

41'

Silva N.

Own Goal

67'

Rodrigo Souto

74'

Fati M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Serpa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Serpa

30%

Draws

42%

Olivais e Moscavide

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olivais e Moscavide

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Olivais e Moscavide have managed 1.07 goals a game lately — Serpa are scoring more at 1.16.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Serpa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Serpa Clean Sheet 19%

Olivais e Moscavide Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Serpa	Olivais e Moscavide
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	10	10
Draws	10	2
Losses	11	18
Goals Scored	1.16	1.07
Goals Conceded	1.26	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.17	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2021 Taça de Portugal

Serpa vs Olivais e Moscavide

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Souto

1 Goals

Assists Leader Fati M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.9

Avg xA / game 0.58

Olivais e Moscavide Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serpa 32 / 100

Olivais e Moscavide 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Serpa Olivais e Moscavide

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Serpa's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Olivais e Moscavide let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Serpa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Serpa VS -

1.13 Goals Scored 0

1.5 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serpa

(Home)

26 Sept

Real SC

1 : 1

Serpa

20 Sept

Serpa

1 : 2

Louletano

13 Sept

Lagoa

0 : 0

Serpa

06 Sept

Serpa

1 : 1

1º Dezembro

29 Aug

Serpa

2 : 0

Grandolense

Page 1 of 7

Olivais e Moscavide

(Away)

19 Oct

Lusitano GC

4 : 1

Olivais e Moscavide

21 Sept

Olivais e Moscavide

2 : 0

Uniao Da Serra

14 Sept

Fayal

0 : 5

Olivais e Moscavide

21 Oct

Olivais e Moscavide

1 : 3

Sporting CP

24 Sept

Os Sandinenses

1 : 3

Olivais e Moscavide

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

SC Pombal -

TBD -

Leca 1

Lusitania FC 0

TBD -

Arouca -

Condeixa -

TBD -

Esperanca de Lagos -

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Estrela Vendas Novas -

TBD -

Pedroso 0

Paredes 2

Ferreira de Aves -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

GD Fontinhas -

TBD -

Torreense -

O Elvas CAD 0

Sacavenense 2

SC Mirandela 0

AD Fafe 1

SC Praiense 0

Sporting Ideal 1

TBD -

Valadares Gaia FC -

Canelas 2010 12

Regua 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Rebordelo -

TBD -

Moimenta da Beira 2

Cinfaes 3

Sao Roque -

TBD -

SC Farense -

CF Os Belenenses -

TBD -

Pero Pinheiro -

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Oleiros -

TBD -

Varzim -

TBD -

Maritimo -

SC Vianense 2

Ancora Praia 1

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Vizela -

Culatrense 1

Louletano 2

Gondomar 2

SC Salgueiros 3

Ferreiras 1

Penedo Gordo 0

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Moitense -

TBD -

Anca 1

Sanjoanense 0

TBD -

Braga -

Moncarapachense 1

Industria 2

TBD -

Leiria -

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Gloria Ribatejo 0

Sintrense 4

Macedo de Cavaleiros 1

Forjaes 0

TBD -

FC Porto -

Vila Mea 4

Amarante FC 3

TBD -

Feirense -

Vinhais -

TBD -

Nacional -

Pevidem -

TBD -

Trofense -

TBD -

Benfica -

Estarreja 1

Aguias do Moradal 2

Damaiense 3

SC Lusitania 1

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

Vila Velha 0

Vitoria Sernache 3

TBD -

Rio Ave -

TBD -

Boavista -

CD Rabo Peixe -

TBD -

Castro Daire 1

Trancoso 0

Olhanense 1

Juv. Evora 0

Santa Cruz Alvarenga 3

CD Gouveia 1

Uniao Lamas 1

SC Espinho 2

Valenciano 2

Merelinense 4

Abrantes Benfica 2

Caldas SC 4

Pinhalnovense 0

Amora 2

AD Limianos 3

CDC Montalegre 2

Berco 2

GD Joane 1

TBD -

BSAD -

Santa Marta Penaguiao 0

Camacha 3

TBD -

Ribeirao -

TBD -

Tondela -

Sao Joao de Ver -

TBD -

Leixoes -

Uniao Montemor -

TBD -

Vilaverdense FC -

Serpa -

TBD -

Olivais e Moscavide -

Marinhense 1

UC Idanhense 2

TBD -

Covilha -

FC Felgueiras 3

Camara de Lobos 0

TBD -

Chaves -

TBD -

Estoril -

Alverca 6

Electrico FC 0

SC Vila Real 2

Tirsense 1

Anadia -

TBD -

GD Coruchense -

FC Alpendorada -

TBD -

Academica -

TBD -

Famalicao -

Machico 0

Sao Martinho 5

SB Castelo Branco 1

Mata Mourisquense 0

Cerva 1

Maria de Fonte 3

TBD -

Penafiel -

Oliveirense 6

Guarda Desportiva 0

Arronches Benfica 4

Vasco da Gama P. Delgada 3

TBD -

Portimonense -

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1

Imortal 2

TBD -

Vilafranquense -

Real SC 1

FC Barreirense 0

TBD -

Cova De Piedade -

Sertanense 2

GD Peniche 0

TBD -

Mafra -

Vigor Mocidade 0

Uniao de Coimbra 1

TBD -

Graciosa FC -

Santarem 0

GS Loures 1

Lusitano GC 1

Oriental Dragon 2

TBD -

Moreirense -

Oliveira Hospital -

TBD -

U. Madeira -

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

1/64-finals

SC Pombal 0

Leca 4

TBD -

Arouca -

Condeixa 4

Esperanca de Lagos 3

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Estrela Vendas Novas 0

Paredes 2

Ferreira de Aves 0

Academico Viseu 1

GD Fontinhas 0

Torreense 1

Sacavenense 0

AD Fafe 4

Sporting Ideal 0

Valadares Gaia FC 3

Canelas 2010 2

Casa Pia 4

Rebordelo 1

Cinfaes 2

Sao Roque 0

SC Farense 3

CF Os Belenenses 5

Pero Pinheiro 3

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Oleiros 0

Varzim 2

TBD -

Maritimo -

SC Vianense 0

Vitoria Setubal 2

TBD -

Vizela -

Louletano 3

SC Salgueiros 1

Ferreiras 0

Estrela da Amadora 3

Moitense 2

Anca 1

TBD -

Braga -

Industria 1

Leiria 2

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Sintrense 2

Macedo de Cavaleiros 1

TBD -

FC Porto -

Vila Mea 1

Feirense 5

Vinhais 0

Nacional 3

Pevidem 1

Trofense 3

TBD -

Benfica -

Aguias do Moradal 2

Damaiense 1

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

Vitoria Sernache 1

Rio Ave 3

TBD -

Boavista -

CD Rabo Peixe 2

Castro Daire 3

Olhanense 1

Santa Cruz Alvarenga 0

SC Espinho 1

Merelinense 0

Caldas SC 1

Amora 0

AD Limianos 0

Berco 1

TBD -

BSAD -

Camacha 6

Ribeirao 1

TBD -

Tondela -

Sao Joao de Ver 1

Leixoes 3

Uniao Montemor 0

Vilaverdense FC 2

Serpa 4

Olivais e Moscavide 0

UC Idanhense 0

Covilha 2

FC Felgueiras 2

Chaves 0

TBD -

Estoril -

Alverca 3

SC Vila Real 1

Anadia 3

GD Coruchense 1

FC Alpendorada 1

Academica 2

TBD -

Famalicao -

Sao Martinho 0

SB Castelo Branco 1

Maria de Fonte 0

Penafiel 1

Oliveirense 3

Arronches Benfica 0

TBD -

Portimonense -

Imortal 0

Vilafranquense 2

Real SC 2

Cova De Piedade 1

Sertanense 0

Mafra 1

Uniao de Coimbra 2

Graciosa FC 1

GS Loures 2

Oriental Dragon 3

TBD -

Moreirense -

Oliveira Hospital 5

U. Madeira 0

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

1/32-finals

Leca 2

Arouca 1

Condeixa 0

Gil Vicente 5

Paredes 3

Academico Viseu 1

Torreense 2

AD Fafe 1

Valadares Gaia FC 1

Casa Pia 3

Cinfaes 0

SC Farense 4

CF Os Belenenses 0

Sporting CP 4

Varzim 3

Maritimo 2

Vitoria Setubal 0

Vizela 2

Louletano 1

Estrela da Amadora 2

Moitense 0

Braga 5

Leiria 0

Santa Clara 2

Sintrense 0

FC Porto 5

Feirense 3

Nacional 1

Trofense 1

Benfica 2

Aguias do Moradal 0

Pacos Ferreira 3

Rio Ave 4

Boavista 0

Castro Daire 2

Olhanense 3

SC Espinho 0

Caldas SC 1

Berco 1

BSAD 2

Camacha 1

Tondela 2

Leixoes 5

Vilaverdense FC 1

Serpa 1

Covilha 0

FC Felgueiras 0

Estoril 1

Alverca 4

Anadia 1

Academica 0

Famalicao 4

SB Castelo Branco 1

Penafiel 2

Oliveirense 3

Portimonense 4

Vilafranquense 3

Real SC 2

Mafra 3

Uniao de Coimbra 0

Oriental Dragon 2

Moreirense 3

Oliveira Hospital 0

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

1/16-finals

Leca 1

Gil Vicente 0

Paredes 1

Torreense 0

Casa Pia 3

SC Farense 1

Sporting CP 2

Varzim 1

Vizela 2

Estrela da Amadora 0

Braga 6

Santa Clara 0

FC Porto 5

Feirense 1

Benfica 4

Pacos Ferreira 1

Rio Ave 2

Olhanense 1

Caldas SC 3

BSAD 5

Tondela 3

Leixoes 1

Serpa 0

Estoril 5

Alverca 1

Famalicao 2

Penafiel 0

Portimonense 3

Vilafranquense 0

Mafra 1

Moreirense 3

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

1/8-finals

Leca 2

Paredes 1

Casa Pia 1

Sporting CP 2

Vizela 1

Braga 0

FC Porto 3

Benfica 0

Rio Ave 2

BSAD 1

Tondela 3

Estoril 1

Famalicao 1

Portimonense 2

Mafra 3

Moreirense 1

Quarter-finals

Leca 0

Sporting CP 4

Vizela 1

FC Porto 3

Rio Ave 0

Tondela 1

Portimonense 2

Mafra 4

Semi-finals

Sporting CP 1

FC Porto 3

Tondela 4

Mafra 1

Final

FC Porto 3

Tondela 1

Serpa vs Olivais e Moscavide

Portugal

Serpa

Olivais e Moscavide

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Serpa Compare

Olivais e Moscavide Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Serpa

Olivais e Moscavide

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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