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Serpa vs SC Angrense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Serpa Logo

Serpa

4 - 2
FT
SC Angrense Logo

SC Angrense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 game between Serpa and SC Angrense finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serpa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Serpa
20%
Draws
0%
SC Angrense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Serpa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Serpa come out ahead of SC Angrense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Serpa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Serpa Clean Sheet 20%
SC Angrense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serpa SC Angrense
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 10 5
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.28 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Serpa vs SC Angrense
4:2
Jan 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SC Angrense vs Serpa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serpa 85 / 100
SC Angrense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serpa SC Angrense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serpa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Angrense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Away concern: SC Angrense has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Serpa found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (43 games).

Scoring Trends

Serpa VS SC Angrense
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Serpa

(Home)
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2
Louletano
13 Sept
Lagoa
0 : 0
Serpa
06 Sept
Serpa
1 : 1
1º Dezembro
29 Aug
Serpa
2 : 0
Grandolense
16 Aug
Serpa
4 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
Page 1 of 9

SC Angrense

(Away)
30 Aug
Sacavenense
5 : 0
SC Angrense
21 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
7 : 1
SC Angrense
19 Apr
Serpa
4 : 2
SC Angrense
08 Apr
SC Angrense
0 : 2
Lusitano GC
02 Apr
Juv. Evora
6 : 0
SC Angrense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico CP 26 15 7 4 43:22 52
2 Lusitano GC 26 15 6 5 35:22 51
3 Juv. Evora 26 13 7 6 37:16 46
4 CD Rabo Peixe 26 13 6 7 33:19 45
5 Imortal 26 9 12 5 31:22 39
6 Fabril do Barreiro 26 11 6 9 31:26 39
7 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 10 9 7 37:33 39
8 Serpa 26 10 6 10 44:36 36
9 Oriental Dragon 26 10 6 10 35:36 36
10 SC Praiense 26 9 7 10 31:32 34
11 Esperanca de Lagos 26 7 10 9 28:38 31
12 SC Angrense 26 4 5 17 17:46 17
13 Olhanense 26 5 2 19 18:50 17
14 Ferreiras 26 3 7 16 17:39 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)