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Serpa vs Sintrense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serpa host Sintrense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D. This one's hard to separate. Sintrense have shipped 0.86 goals a game lately, while Serpa have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.21. Head-to-head, Serpa have won 1 to Sintrense's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.75, favoring Sintrense. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Serpa
30%
Draws
47%
Sintrense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sintrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sintrense lately — more wins on the board than Serpa.
  • Win probability leans Sintrense's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Serpa Clean Sheet 12%
Sintrense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serpa Sintrense
Matches Played 34 36
Wins 13 18
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Serpa vs Sintrense
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sintrense vs Serpa
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Serpa vs Sintrense
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sintrense vs Serpa
1:0
Mar 24, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Serpa vs Sintrense
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serpa 19 / 100
Sintrense 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serpa Sintrense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sintrense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serpa found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).

Sintrense has conceded goals in 61% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Serpa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Serpa VS Sintrense
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Serpa

(Home)
26 Sept
Real SC
1 : 1
Serpa
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2
Louletano
13 Sept
Lagoa
0 : 0
Serpa
06 Sept
Serpa
1 : 1
1º Dezembro
29 Aug
Serpa
2 : 0
Grandolense
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Sintrense

(Away)
20 Sept
Sintrense
0 : 2
AFS
13 Sept
Sintrense
3 : 1
Santa Clara B
06 Sept
Imortal
0 : 2
Sintrense
30 Aug
Caldas SC
1 : 3
Sintrense
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Imortal 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Amora 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
4 Serpa 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
5 Real SC 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
6 Juv. Evora 4 1 2 1 6:7 5
7 Lagoa 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
8 GD Alcochetense 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
9 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
10 Portel 4 0 4 0 6:6 4
11 Lajense 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
12 1º Dezembro 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
13 Aljustrelense 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
14 Santa Clara B 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)