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Serra Branca vs Auto Esporte

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025 Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao), Joao Pessoa
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Souza E.
38' Event
Victor Ferraz
44' Event
Souza E.

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2025 game between Serra Branca and Auto Esporte finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serra Branca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Serra Branca
30%
Draws
33%
Auto Esporte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Serra Branca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Serra Branca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Serra Branca are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Serra Branca here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Serra Branca Clean Sheet 68%
Auto Esporte Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra Branca Auto Esporte
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.62 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.03 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Paraibano
Serra Branca vs Auto Esporte
5:1
Feb 23, 2023 Paraibano
Serra Branca vs Auto Esporte
3:2
Dec 29, 2022 Club Friendly
Auto Esporte vs Serra Branca
0:1
Dec 21, 2022 Club Friendly
Serra Branca vs Auto Esporte
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serra Branca Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Victor Ferraz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Auto Esporte Compare

Top Goalscorer Betinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra Branca 77 / 100
Auto Esporte 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra Branca Auto Esporte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serra Branca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serra Branca's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Serra Branca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Auto Esporte let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Serra Branca VS Auto Esporte
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serra Branca

(Home)
12 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Serra Branca
04 Jul
Serra Branca
0 : 1
Uberlandia
28 Jun
Juazeirense
0 : 1
Serra Branca
21 Jun
Serra Branca
2 : 0
Juazeirense
14 Jun
Sergipe
1 : 1
Serra Branca
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Auto Esporte

(Away)
16 Sept
Auto Esporte
2 : 0
Santa Rita
12 Sept
Femar
1 : 2
Auto Esporte
22 Feb
Serra Branca
5 : 1
Auto Esporte
16 Feb
Nacional PB
3 : 1
Auto Esporte
13 Feb
Pombal
1 : 1
Auto Esporte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
2 Botafogo PB 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Treze PB 9 5 3 1 18:8 18
4 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 21:8 17
5 Campinense 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
6 EC de Patos 9 3 1 5 14:16 10
7 Pombal 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
8 Nacional PB 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
9 Auto Esporte 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
10 Picuiense 9 0 1 8 5:35 1
11 CSP 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 (Main)