Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serra Branca vs Confianca PB

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano
Serra Branca Logo

Serra Branca

2 - 0
FT
Confianca PB Logo

Confianca PB

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Diego Ceara
45' Event
Pedro Vitor B. d. S.
46'
Sub
Anderson Montanha In: Filipe Carvalho
Out: Anderson Montanha
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano game between Serra Branca and Confianca PB finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serra Branca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Serra Branca
20%
Draws
34%
Confianca PB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Serra Branca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Serra Branca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Serra Branca are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Paraibano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Serra Branca Clean Sheet 68%
Confianca PB Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra Branca Confianca PB
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 13 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.26 1.47
Goals Conceded 1 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Paraibano
Serra Branca vs Confianca PB
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serra Branca Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego Ceara
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro Vitor B. d. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Confianca PB Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra Branca 59 / 100
Confianca PB 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra Branca Confianca PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serra Branca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serra Branca's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Confianca PB let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Serra Branca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serra Branca VS Confianca PB
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Serra Branca

(Home)
12 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Serra Branca
04 Jul
Serra Branca
0 : 1
Uberlandia
28 Jun
Juazeirense
0 : 1
Serra Branca
21 Jun
Serra Branca
2 : 0
Juazeirense
14 Jun
Sergipe
1 : 1
Serra Branca
Page 1 of 7

Confianca PB

(Away)
22 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
0 : 2
Confianca PB
18 Feb
Confianca PB
3 : 2
Pombal
08 Feb
Confianca PB
1 : 2
EC de Patos
04 Feb
Serra Branca
2 : 0
Confianca PB
01 Feb
Treze PB
1 : 0
Confianca PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
2 Campinense 9 4 3 2 14:9 15
3 Sousa 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
4 Serra Branca 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
5 Nacional PB 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Treze PB 9 4 0 5 11:11 12
7 EC de Patos 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
8 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 3 1 5 6:11 10
9 Confianca PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
10 Pombal 9 2 2 5 10:18 8
Promotion - Paraibano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 2027 (Main)