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Serra Branca vs Juazeirense

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Serie D
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serra Branca play Juazeirense in the Serie D. It looks like a close match. Recently, Serra Branca averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1 conceded. Juazeirense averaged 1 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Serra Branca won 2, Juazeirense won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Serra Branca and 0.56 for Juazeirense. This points to a Serra Branca double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Serra Branca
30%
Draws
24%
Juazeirense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Serra Branca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Serra Branca picked up more points recently compared to Juazeirense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 0.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Serra Branca Clean Sheet 30%
Juazeirense Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra Branca Juazeirense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Serie D
Juazeirense vs Serra Branca
0:1
Jun 21, 2026 Serie D
Serra Branca vs Juazeirense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serra Branca Compare

Top Goalscorer Ligeiro A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kayan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Juazeirense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra Branca 47 / 100
Juazeirense 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra Branca Juazeirense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Serra Branca or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Serra Branca attacking → ← attacking Juazeirense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serra Branca scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Juazeirense let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Serra Branca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Juazeirense lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 36
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38