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Serra Branca vs Maguary

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serra Branca in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serra Branca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Serra Branca
20%
Draws
22%
Maguary
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Serra Branca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Serra Branca have won more games recently than Maguary.
  • Model gives Serra Branca a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Serra Branca Clean Sheet 20%
Maguary Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra Branca Maguary
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Serra Branca vs Maguary
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra Branca 40 / 100
Maguary 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra Branca Maguary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serra Branca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serra Branca's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Maguary let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Serra Branca remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Serra Branca VS Maguary
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serra Branca

(Home)
12 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Serra Branca
04 Jul
Serra Branca
0 : 1
Uberlandia
28 Jun
Juazeirense
0 : 1
Serra Branca
21 Jun
Serra Branca
2 : 0
Juazeirense
14 Jun
Sergipe
1 : 1
Serra Branca
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Maguary

(Away)
12 Jul
Iguatu
2 : 1
Maguary
04 Jul
Maguary
2 : 3
Iguatu
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
14 Jun
ABC
1 : 0
Maguary
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