Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Tomas Bastos
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Uberlandia carry the better recent record into this one.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Uberlandia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Uberlandia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Serra Branca Clean Sheet 68%
Uberlandia Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Serra Branca | Uberlandia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 Serie D
Uberlandia vs Serra Branca
2:2
Jul 4, 2026 Serie D
Serra Branca vs Uberlandia
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Serra Branca Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Uberlandia Compare
Top Goalscorer Tomas Bastos
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Serra Branca 41 / 100
Uberlandia 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Serra Branca Uberlandia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Serra Branca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Serra Branca scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Uberlandia let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Solid form: Serra Branca remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Serra Branca VS Uberlandia
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
17% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Serra Branca
(Home) 12 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 2 Serra Branca
04 Jul
Serra Branca
0 : 1 Uberlandia
28 Jun
Juazeirense
0 : 1 Serra Branca
21 Jun
Serra Branca
2 : 0 Juazeirense
14 Jun
Sergipe
1 : 1 Serra Branca
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Serra Branca
0 : 1 Uberlandia
21 Jun
Serra Branca
2 : 0 Juazeirense
31 May
Serra Branca
0 : 0 Retro
16 May
Serra Branca
1 : 2 Treze PB
09 May
Serra Branca
0 : 0 Lagarto
Page 1 of 4
Uberlandia
(Away) 27 Sept
Uberlandia
0 : 4 Mirassol
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1 ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2 Uberlandia
30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1 Uberlandia
22 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0 ABC
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2 Uberlandia
30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1 Uberlandia
15 Aug
CSA
0 : 2 Uberlandia
25 Jul
Portuguesa
1 : 0 Uberlandia
04 Jul
Serra Branca
0 : 1 Uberlandia
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3
