Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serra U20 vs Sport-ES U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba U20 2025 game between Serra U20 and Sport-ES U20 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serra U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Serra U20
20%
Draws
10%
Sport-ES U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Serra U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Serra U20 come out ahead of Sport-ES U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Serra U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Serra U20 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Serra U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Sport-ES U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra U20 Sport-ES U20
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 10 3
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.33 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Capixaba U20
Serra U20 vs Sport-ES U20
2:1
Mar 23, 2024 Capixaba U20
Sport-ES U20 vs Serra U20
3:1
Feb 24, 2024 Capixaba U20
Serra U20 vs Sport-ES U20
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra U20 85 / 100
Sport-ES U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra U20 Sport-ES U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serra U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport-ES U20 has conceded goals in 84% of their last 25 outings.

Serra U20 scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Serra U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serra U20 VS Sport-ES U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.83 Goals Conceded 2.63
83% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Serra U20

(Home)
17 May
Serra U20
1 : 1
Forte U20
10 May
Forte U20
5 : 2
Serra U20
03 May
Forte U20
2 : 0
Serra U20
26 Apr
Serra U20
4 : 2
Porto Vitoria U20
23 Apr
G.E.L. U20
0 : 1
Serra U20
Page 1 of 6

Sport-ES U20

(Away)
01 May
Porto Vitoria U20
10 : 0
Sport-ES U20
24 Apr
Sport-ES U20
1 : 4
Porto Vitoria U20
18 Apr
Sport-ES U20
2 : 4
Vitoria ES U20
03 Apr
Sport-ES U20
2 : 2
Pinheiros U20
28 Mar
Tupy U20
3 : 0
Sport-ES U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES U20 9 6 2 1 33:11 20
2 Porto Vitoria U20 9 6 1 2 30:11 19
3 Serra U20 9 6 1 2 18:9 19
4 Desportiva Ferroviaria U20 9 5 1 3 15:8 16
5 G.E.L. U20 9 4 1 4 24:20 13
6 Forte U20 9 3 3 3 15:14 12
7 Vitoria ES U20 9 3 2 4 16:20 11
8 Vilavelhense U20 9 3 1 5 20:19 10
9 Sport-ES U20 9 1 3 5 16:23 6
10 Linhares Futebol Clube U20 9 0 1 8 6:58 1
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2025 (Play Offs)