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Serra vs Aracruz

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2012
Serra Logo

Serra

2 - 2
FT
Aracruz Logo

Aracruz

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Capixaba 2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Serra
35%
Draws
49%
Aracruz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aracruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Serra have won more games recently than Aracruz.
  • Win probability leans Serra's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Serra Clean Sheet 20%
Aracruz Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra Aracruz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 3 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.4
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2012 Capixaba
Serra vs Aracruz
2:2
Feb 8, 2012 Capixaba
Aracruz vs Serra
1:0
Apr 2, 2011 Capixaba
Serra vs Aracruz
1:1
Feb 12, 2011 Capixaba
Aracruz vs Serra
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra 36 / 100
Aracruz 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra Aracruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Serra scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Aracruz conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Solid form: Serra remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Serra VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serra

(Home)
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
24 May
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Serra
20 May
Vitoria ES
3 : 2
Serra
09 May
Serra
2 : 3
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 6

Aracruz

(Away)
24 Aug
Tupi-MG
2 : 1
Aracruz
10 Aug
Aracruz
0 : 0
Araxa
03 Aug
Resende
4 : 1
Aracruz
27 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0
Nova Iguacu
20 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0
Resende
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 18 10 3 5 36:23 33
2 Aracruz 18 9 6 3 28:20 33
3 Vitoria ES 18 9 4 5 23:15 31
4 Conilon 18 8 6 4 40:23 30
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 9 3 6 27:19 30
6 SAO Mateus 18 8 2 8 17:23 26
7 Real Noroeste 18 6 4 8 21:23 22
8 Galatas 18 5 3 10 15:26 18
9 Colatina SE 18 3 8 7 21:27 17
10 Serra 18 3 1 14 20:49 10
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2012 (Play Offs)