Sport Picks
Serra vs Capixaba SC
Brazil
Copa Espirito Santo Estádio Municipal Roberto Siqueira Costa, Serra 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Serra at 1.71 goals for, 1 against; Capixaba SC at 0.91 for, 1.27 against. Head-to-head, Serra have won 2 to Capixaba SC's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 1.06, favoring Serra. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Serra have won more games recently than Capixaba SC.
- 73% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Serra have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Serra, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Serra have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Serra | Capixaba SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 22 |
| Wins | 20 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 0.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Serra scored in 82% of their last 34 games.
Capixaba SC has conceded goals in 73% of their last 22 outings.
Capixaba SC lost 3 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Serra
(Home)Capixaba SC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto Vitoria | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Vitoria ES | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Vilavelhense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Rio Branco-VN | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 13 |
| 5 | Rio Branco ES | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Sport-ES | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | 6 |
| 7 | Serra | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 8 | Audax Sao Mateus | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | 4 |
