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Serra vs Capixaba SC

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo Estádio Municipal Roberto Siqueira Costa
Fri, May 15, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serra host Capixaba SC in the Copa Espirito Santo. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Serra at 1.25 goals for, 1.13 against; Capixaba SC at 0 for, 0 against. Head-to-head, Serra have won 2 to Capixaba SC's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 1.06, favoring Serra. API prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Serra
39%
Draws
30%
Capixaba SC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Serra have won more games recently than Capixaba SC.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Espirito Santo fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Serra have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Serra Clean Sheet 20%
Capixaba SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra Capixaba SC
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 16 8
Draws 3 3
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Serra vs Capixaba SC
0:0
Jan 25, 2026 Capixaba
Serra vs Capixaba SC
3:0
Apr 19, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Capixaba SC vs Serra
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra 32 / 100
Capixaba SC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra Capixaba SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Serra scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Capixaba SC let in goals in 73% of their last 22 matches.

Capixaba SC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Serra VS Capixaba SC
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Porto Vitoria751114:516
2Vitoria ES741216:813
3Vilavelhense741210:813
4Rio Branco-VN74126:413
5Rio Branco ES732211:711
6Sport-ES72053:136
7Serra71156:104
8Audax Sao Mateus71152:134