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Serra vs Colatina SE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Campeonato Capixaba 2011
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2011 game between Serra and Colatina SE finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colatina SE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Serra
20%
Draws
70%
Colatina SE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colatina SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Serra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Serra's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Serra Clean Sheet 20%
Colatina SE Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra Colatina SE
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 4 11
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.71 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2012 Capixaba
Colatina SE vs Serra
2:3
Feb 15, 2012 Capixaba
Serra vs Colatina SE
1:2
Mar 12, 2011 Capixaba
Serra vs Colatina SE
0:1
Jan 24, 2011 Capixaba
Colatina SE vs Serra
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra 42 / 100
Colatina SE 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra Colatina SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serra's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Defensive concern: Colatina SE conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Serra has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Serra VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serra

(Home)
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
24 May
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Serra
20 May
Vitoria ES
3 : 2
Serra
09 May
Serra
2 : 3
Vilavelhense
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Colatina SE

(Away)
10 May
Colatina SE
2 : 5
Linhares Futebol Clube
05 May
Estrela do Norte
3 : 0
Colatina SE
26 Apr
Colatina SE
4 : 2
Real Noroeste
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
14 Apr
Colatina SE
0 : 0
Desportiva Ferroviaria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 14 8 3 3 23:21 27
2 Vitoria ES 14 7 2 5 22:13 23
3 SAO Mateus 14 6 4 4 28:19 22
4 Linhares Futebol Clube 14 7 1 6 24:22 22
5 Aracruz 14 6 6 2 23:15 18
6 Colatina SE 14 4 3 7 16:24 15
7 Galatas 14 3 5 6 18:29 14
8 Serra 14 1 4 9 12:23 7
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2011 (Play Offs)