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Serra vs Conilon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2012
Serra Logo

Serra

2 - 5
FT
Conilon Logo

Conilon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2012 game between Serra and Conilon finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Conilon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Serra
15%
Draws
0%
Conilon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Serra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Serra are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Serra Clean Sheet 20%
Conilon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra Conilon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.52 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2012 Capixaba
Conilon vs Serra
4:0
Feb 4, 2012 Capixaba
Serra vs Conilon
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra 85 / 100
Conilon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra Conilon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Conilon conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Conilon's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Serra found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Serra VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serra

(Home)
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
24 May
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Serra
20 May
Vitoria ES
3 : 2
Serra
09 May
Serra
2 : 3
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 6

Conilon

(Away)
10 May
Conilon
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
04 May
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Conilon
30 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Vitoria ES
26 Apr
Linhares Futebol Clube
3 : 0
Conilon
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 18 10 3 5 36:23 33
2 Aracruz 18 9 6 3 28:20 33
3 Vitoria ES 18 9 4 5 23:15 31
4 Conilon 18 8 6 4 40:23 30
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 9 3 6 27:19 30
6 SAO Mateus 18 8 2 8 17:23 26
7 Real Noroeste 18 6 4 8 21:23 22
8 Galatas 18 5 3 10 15:26 18
9 Colatina SE 18 3 8 7 21:27 17
10 Serra 18 3 1 14 20:49 10
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2012 (Play Offs)