Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serra vs Jaguare

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2009
Serra Logo

Serra

1 - 5
FT
Jaguare Logo

Jaguare

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2009 game between Serra and Jaguare finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaguare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Serra
20%
Draws
64%
Jaguare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jaguare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Serra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 16% — that's where the model lands on Serra taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Serra Clean Sheet 20%
Jaguare Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra Jaguare
Matches Played 41 36
Wins 21 13
Draws 5 12
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.78 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2024 Capixaba
Serra vs Jaguare
5:0
Mar 27, 2010 Capixaba
Serra vs Jaguare
1:2
Feb 5, 2010 Capixaba
Jaguare vs Serra
1:0
Apr 25, 2009 Capixaba
Serra vs Jaguare
1:5
Feb 28, 2009 Capixaba
Jaguare vs Serra
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra 58 / 100
Jaguare 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra Jaguare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Serra scored in 83% of their last 41 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Jaguare conceded in 72% of 36 recent games.

Difficult form: Jaguare registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serra VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serra

(Home)
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
24 May
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Serra
20 May
Vitoria ES
3 : 2
Serra
09 May
Serra
2 : 3
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 9

Jaguare

(Away)
23 Feb
Rio Branco ES
3 : 0
Jaguare
18 Feb
Jaguare
1 : 0
Vitoria ES
11 Feb
Real Noroeste
1 : 1
Jaguare
08 Feb
Jaguare
0 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
05 Feb
Porto Vitoria
3 : 1
Jaguare
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SAO Mateus 18 11 3 4 28:21 36
2 Rio Branco ES 18 8 7 3 35:21 31
3 Jaguare 18 9 3 6 30:25 30
4 Vilavelhense 18 8 4 6 29:27 28
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 8 3 7 18:19 27
6 Desportiva Ferroviaria 18 6 4 8 26:24 22
7 Rio Bananal FC 18 6 3 9 22:26 21
8 GEL 18 6 2 10 24:33 20
9 Serra 18 5 4 9 32:39 19
10 Colatinense 18 5 3 10 25:34 18
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2009 (Play Offs)