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Serra vs Linhares Futebol Clube - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2 2025 Estádio Municipal Roberto Siqueira Costa, Serra
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Serra advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Serra
15%
Draws
73%
Linhares Futebol Clube
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Linhares Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Linhares Futebol Clube haven't matched Serra's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Linhares Futebol Clube taking it.
  • Serra have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Serra, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Serra have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Serra Clean Sheet 10%
Linhares Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra Linhares Futebol Clube
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.7 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2025 Capixaba 2
Serra vs Linhares Futebol Clube
3:2
Sep 27, 2025 Capixaba 2
Linhares Futebol Clube vs Serra
0:2
Sep 12, 2025 Capixaba 2
Serra vs Linhares Futebol Clube
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Serra vs Linhares Futebol Clube
7:0
Feb 12, 2020 Capixaba
Serra vs Linhares Futebol Clube
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra 10 / 100
Linhares Futebol Clube 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra Linhares Futebol Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linhares Futebol Clube Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serra found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Linhares Futebol Clube let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Linhares Futebol Clube has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Serra VS Linhares Futebol Clube
1 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Serra

(Home)
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
24 May
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Serra
20 May
Vitoria ES
3 : 2
Serra
09 May
Serra
2 : 3
Vilavelhense
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Linhares Futebol Clube

(Away)
19 Sept
Estrela do Norte
2 : 1
Linhares Futebol Clube
11 Sept
Linhares Futebol Clube
2 : 0
Rive
05 Sept
Rive
1 : 0
Linhares Futebol Clube
29 Aug
CTE Colatina
0 : 9
Linhares Futebol Clube
26 Aug
Linhares Futebol Clube
0 : 1
GEL
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Serra 5
Linhares Futebol Clube 2
Estrela do Norte 1
Forte 3
Final
Serra 1
Forte 0