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Serra vs Rio Branco-VN - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Estádio Municipal Roberto Siqueira Costa, Serra
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Weverton In: Joao Torres
Out: Weverton
46'
Sub
Conrado In: Edson Mika
Out: Conrado
54'
Lucas J.

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba game between Serra and Rio Branco-VN finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Serra
20%
Draws
74%
Rio Branco-VN
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rio Branco-VN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Rio Branco-VN haven't matched Serra's recent run of results.
  • 74% — that's where the model lands on Rio Branco-VN taking it.
  • Regular Capixaba form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Serra Clean Sheet 23%
Rio Branco-VN Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra Rio Branco-VN
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 19 8
Draws 3 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.64 1
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco-VN vs Serra
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Capixaba
Serra vs Rio Branco-VN
1:0
May 2, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Serra vs Rio Branco-VN
0:1
Feb 16, 2024 Capixaba
Serra vs Rio Branco-VN
0:1
Mar 13, 2022 Capixaba
Rio Branco-VN vs Serra
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serra Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Rio Branco-VN Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra 13 / 100
Rio Branco-VN 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra Rio Branco-VN

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Branco-VN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Serra scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Rio Branco-VN let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Serra stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serra VS Rio Branco-VN
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serra

(Home)
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
24 May
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Serra
20 May
Vitoria ES
3 : 2
Serra
09 May
Serra
2 : 3
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 7

Rio Branco-VN

(Away)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
31 May
Sport-ES
0 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria ES 9 6 2 1 14:4 20
2 Serra 9 4 2 3 10:6 14
3 Vilavelhense 9 4 1 4 8:10 13
4 Rio Branco ES 9 3 4 2 10:6 13
5 Porto Vitoria 9 3 4 2 7:5 13
6 Desportiva Ferroviaria 9 3 2 4 10:11 11
7 Real Noroeste 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
8 Forte 9 2 5 2 5:4 11
9 Capixaba SC 9 3 1 5 6:13 10
10 Rio Branco-VN 9 0 5 4 8:15 5
Promotion - Capixaba (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capixaba 2 2027 (Main)