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Match Events
AI Match Summary
Vitoria ES in this Capixaba matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria ES.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Vitoria ES have won more games recently than Serra.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Capixaba form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Vitoria ES have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Serra | Vitoria ES |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 38 |
| Wins | 17 | 18 |
| Draws | 3 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.74 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Serra Compare
Vitoria ES Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Serra found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).
Defensive concern: Vitoria ES conceded in 61% of 38 recent games.
Recent resilience: Serra stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Serra
(Home)Vitoria ES
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria ES | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Serra | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Vilavelhense | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Rio Branco ES | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Porto Vitoria | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Desportiva Ferroviaria | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 7 | Real Noroeste | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Forte | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5:4 | 11 |
| 9 | Capixaba SC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Rio Branco-VN | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8:15 | 5 |