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Serra W vs EC Sao Geraldo W

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Women Estádio Municipal Roberto Siqueira Costa, Serra
Sat, Jun 28, 2025
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serra W host EC Sao Geraldo W in the Capixaba Women. Serra W go into this one as the clear favorite. EC Sao Geraldo W have shipped 4.71 goals a game lately, while Serra W have conceded 3.25 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Serra W have won 1 to EC Sao Geraldo W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2025, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.92 xG vs 2.34) point toward Serra W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Serra W
28%
Draws
22%
EC Sao Geraldo W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Serra W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Serra W lately — more wins on the board than EC Sao Geraldo W.
  • Serra W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Capixaba Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Serra W Clean Sheet 10%
EC Sao Geraldo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra W EC Sao Geraldo W
Matches Played 9 7
Wins 4 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.43
Goals Conceded 3.25 4.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 4.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2025 Capixaba Women
Serra W vs EC Sao Geraldo W
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra W 47 / 100
EC Sao Geraldo W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra W EC Sao Geraldo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Sao Geraldo W has conceded goals in 100% of their last 7 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: EC Sao Geraldo W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Serra W scored in 56% of their last 9 games.

Scoring Trends

Serra W VS EC Sao Geraldo W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.43
3.25 Goals Conceded 4.71
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Serra W

(Home)
24 Aug
Estadual W
2 : 0
Serra W
17 Aug
Serra W
0 : 7
Estadual W
10 Aug
Serra W
0 : 5
Prosperidade W
03 Aug
Vila Nova ES W
0 : 1
Serra W
26 Jul
Serra W
0 : 6
MDE W
Page 1 of 2

EC Sao Geraldo W

(Away)
10 Aug
EC Sao Geraldo W
0 : 3
Vila Nova ES W
03 Aug
Atletico Capixaba W
2 : 4
EC Sao Geraldo W
27 Jul
EC Sao Geraldo W
2 : 3
Harpia W
19 Jul
Prosperidade W
11 : 0
EC Sao Geraldo W
13 Jul
EC Sao Geraldo W
1 : 6
MDE W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estadual W770030:521
2Prosperidade W760142:618
3MDE W750223:1815
4Serra W74039:1912
5Harpia W730411:179
6Vila Nova ES W711511:164
7EC Sao Geraldo W710610:333
8Atletico Capixaba W70167:291
Promotion - Capixaba Women (Play Offs)