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Serra W vs Estadual W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Women 2025 Estádio Municipal Roberto Siqueira Costa, Serra
Serra W Logo

Serra W

1 - 7
FT
Estadual W Logo

Estadual W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estadual W in this Capixaba Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estadual W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Serra W
15%
Draws
64%
Estadual W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estadual W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Estadual W lately — more wins on the board than Serra W.
  • Estadual W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Capixaba Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Estadual W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Serra W Clean Sheet 10%
Estadual W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra W Estadual W
Matches Played 9 26
Wins 4 18
Draws 0 1
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1 3.08
Goals Conceded 3.11 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.65 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2025 Capixaba Women
Estadual W vs Serra W
2:0
Aug 17, 2025 Capixaba Women
Serra W vs Estadual W
0:7
Jul 12, 2025 Capixaba Women
Serra W vs Estadual W
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra W 10 / 100
Estadual W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra W Estadual W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estadual W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.67 goals per match.

Serra W scored in 56% of their last 9 games.

Estadual W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 26 matches.

Serra W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serra W VS Estadual W
0.67 Goals Scored 3.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
83% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Serra W

(Home)
24 Aug
Estadual W
2 : 0
Serra W
17 Aug
Serra W
0 : 7
Estadual W
10 Aug
Serra W
0 : 5
Prosperidade W
03 Aug
Vila Nova ES W
0 : 1
Serra W
26 Jul
Serra W
0 : 6
MDE W
Page 1 of 2

Estadual W

(Away)
03 Oct
Estadual W
3 : 0
Harpia W
27 Sept
MDE W
1 : 3
Estadual W
20 Sept
Estadual W
4 : 1
America ES W
12 Sept
Prosperidade W
6 : 0
Estadual W
06 Sept
Estadual W
0 : 2
Harpia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estadual W 7 7 0 0 30:5 21
2 Prosperidade W 7 6 0 1 42:6 18
3 MDE W 7 5 0 2 23:18 15
4 Serra W 7 4 0 3 9:19 12
5 Harpia W 7 3 0 4 11:17 9
6 Vila Nova ES W 7 1 1 5 11:16 4
7 EC Sao Geraldo W 7 1 0 6 10:33 3
8 Atletico Capixaba W 7 0 1 6 7:29 1
Promotion - Capixaba Women 2025 (Play Offs)