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Serranense vs Paracatu

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mineiro 3 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Serranense
35%
Draws
52%
Paracatu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Paracatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Paracatu have won more games recently than Serranense.
  • Model gives Paracatu a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Serranense Clean Sheet 11%
Paracatu Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serranense Paracatu
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2022 Mineiro 3
Serranense vs Paracatu
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serranense 10 / 100
Paracatu 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serranense Paracatu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paracatu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serranense's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Paracatu conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Serranense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serranense VS Paracatu
0.83 Goals Scored 0.88
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Serranense

(Home)
11 Oct
Serranense
0 : 1
Boston City
05 Oct
Coimbra Esporte Clube
6 : 1
Serranense
27 Sept
Serranense
2 : 2
Tupi-MG
20 Sept
Novo Esporte
3 : 0
Serranense
06 Sept
Serranense
0 : 0
Uniao Luziense
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Paracatu

(Away)
22 Nov
Paracatu
0 : 0
Novo Esporte
15 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 2
Paracatu
08 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 1
Paracatu
01 Nov
Paracatu
1 : 1
Boa
25 Oct
Essube
0 : 2
Paracatu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Esporte Clube 7 5 1 1 12:5 16
2 Valeriodoce 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
3 America TO 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
4 Novo Esporte 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
5 Boston City 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
6 Contagem 7 2 2 3 8:7 8
7 Juventus Minasnovense 7 1 0 6 8:14 3
8 Ideal FC 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabirito 7 6 0 1 12:1 18
2 Villa Real 7 4 1 2 7:4 13
3 Santarritense 7 3 3 1 8:4 12
4 Tres Coracoes 7 3 1 3 12:13 10
5 Passos 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
6 Figueirense Esporte Clube 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
7 Betis 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Pocos de Caldas 7 0 1 6 2:12 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araxa 7 5 2 0 7:2 17
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
3 Nacional Uberaba 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
4 Mamore 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
5 Inter de Minas 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
6 Serranense 7 1 3 3 8:10 6
7 Paracatu 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
8 Sao Gotardo 7 0 2 5 4:13 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)