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Serrano FC vs Bonsucesso

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Serrano FC Logo

Serrano FC

0 - 0
FT
Bonsucesso Logo

Bonsucesso

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Serrano FC and Bonsucesso finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Serrano FC
35%
Draws
40%
Bonsucesso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bonsucesso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Bonsucesso carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bonsucesso are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Serrano FC Clean Sheet 16%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano FC Bonsucesso
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Carioca 2
Serrano FC vs Bonsucesso
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Carioca B1
Bonsucesso vs Serrano FC
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Carioca B1
Serrano FC vs Bonsucesso
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Carioca B1
Serrano FC vs Bonsucesso
1:0
Nov 25, 2020 Carioca 2
Serrano FC vs Bonsucesso
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano FC 28 / 100
Bonsucesso 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano FC Bonsucesso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonsucesso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serrano FC's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bonsucesso let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Serrano FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serrano FC VS Bonsucesso
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Serrano FC
1 : 1
Campo Grande
19 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 1
Serrano FC
12 Sept
Serrano FC
0 : 0
Goytacaz
05 Sept
Niteroiense
2 : 0
Serrano FC
04 Jul
America RJ
5 : 0
Serrano FC
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Bonsucesso

(Away)
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1
Bonsucesso
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2
Madureira
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2
America RJ
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)