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Serrano FC vs Macae - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serrano FC host Macae in the Carioca B1. This one's hard to separate. Serrano FC have averaged 1.11 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Macae's 1.21 scored and 1.21 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.50, favoring Serrano FC. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Serrano FC
30%
Draws
33%
Macae
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Serrano FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Serrano FC have won more games recently than Macae.
  • Model gives Serrano FC a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Serrano FC Clean Sheet 16%
Macae Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano FC Macae
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 13 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.11 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano FC 36 / 100
Macae 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano FC Macae

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serrano FC scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Macae let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Serrano FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Macae lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serrano FC VS Macae
0.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Artsul
3 : 4
Serrano FC
26 Sept
Serrano FC
1 : 1
Campo Grande
19 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 1
Serrano FC
12 Sept
Serrano FC
0 : 0
Goytacaz
05 Sept
Niteroiense
2 : 0
Serrano FC
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Macae

(Away)
03 Oct
Macae
4 : 3
AA Carapebus
26 Sept
Macae
0 : 0
Artsul
19 Sept
Campo Grande
2 : 1
Macae
12 Sept
Macae
2 : 0
Audax RJ
05 Sept
Goytacaz
1 : 0
Macae
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niteroiense 5 4 1 0 7:1 13
2 Goytacaz 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
3 Duque de Caxias 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
4 Goncalense 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
5 Artsul 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
6 Campo Grande 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Serrano FC 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
8 Macae 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
9 Sao Cristovao 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
10 Nova Cidade 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
11 AA Carapebus 5 0 1 4 4:10 1
12 Audax RJ 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)