Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao Goncalo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Serrano FC's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Sao Goncalo have produced (0.63).
- Win probability leans Sao Goncalo's way, sitting at 90%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Sao Goncalo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Serrano FC Clean Sheet 23%
Sao Goncalo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Serrano FC | Sao Goncalo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2026 Carioca 2
Serrano FC vs Sao Goncalo
0:3
Jun 24, 2026 Copa Rio
Sao Goncalo vs Serrano FC
3:2
Jun 17, 2026 Copa Rio
Serrano FC vs Sao Goncalo
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Carioca B1
Serrano FC vs Sao Goncalo
0:2
Nov 11, 2020 Carioca 2
Serrano FC vs Sao Goncalo
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Serrano FC 10 / 100
Sao Goncalo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Serrano FC Sao Goncalo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Serrano FC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Sao Goncalo has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Serrano FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Serrano FC VS Sao Goncalo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Serrano FC
(Home) 04 Jul
America RJ
5 : 0 Serrano FC
27 Jun
Serrano FC
0 : 3 Sao Goncalo
24 Jun
Sao Goncalo
3 : 2 Serrano FC
20 Jun
Resende
0 : 0 Serrano FC
17 Jun
Serrano FC
0 : 0 Sao Goncalo
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27 Jun
Serrano FC
0 : 3 Sao Goncalo
17 Jun
Serrano FC
0 : 0 Sao Goncalo
14 Jun
Serrano FC
1 : 1 Marica
30 May
Serrano FC
1 : 2 Americano
09 May
Serrano FC
0 : 0 Bonsucesso
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Sao Goncalo
(Away) 20 Jul
Volta Redonda
0 : 0 Sao Goncalo
16 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1 Volta Redonda
04 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1 Audax RJ
27 Jun
Serrano FC
0 : 3 Sao Goncalo
24 Jun
Sao Goncalo
3 : 2 Serrano FC
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20 Jul
Volta Redonda
0 : 0 Sao Goncalo
27 Jun
Serrano FC
0 : 3 Sao Goncalo
17 Jun
Serrano FC
0 : 0 Sao Goncalo
14 Jun
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1 Sao Goncalo
03 Jun
America RJ
2 : 1 Sao Goncalo
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano2
Macae1
TBD-
Portuguesa RJ-
Cabofriense1
Bonsucesso3
TBD-
Madureira-
Perolas Negras10
Santa Cruz RJ1
TBD-
Marica-
CEAC/Araruama2
Sao Cristovao1
TBD-
Boavista-
Olaria6
Duque de Caxias0
TBD-
Bangu-
America RJ-
Goytacaz-
TBD-
Nova Iguacu-
Sao Goncalo3
Serrano FC2
TBD-
Volta Redonda-
Resende11
Belford Roxo2
TBD-
Sampaio Correa FE-
1/8-finals
Americano1
Portuguesa RJ2
Bonsucesso3
Madureira4
Perolas Negras0
Marica3
CEAC/Araruama0
Boavista5
Olaria3
Bangu1
America RJ1
Nova Iguacu2
Sao Goncalo2
Volta Redonda1
Resende0
Sampaio Correa FE3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ-
Madureira-
Marica-
Boavista-
Olaria-
Nova Iguacu-
Sao Goncalo-
Sampaio Correa FE-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-