Sport Picks

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Serrano PB vs Desportiva Guarabira

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Desportiva Guarabira in this Paraibano 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Desportiva Guarabira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Serrano PB
39%
Draws
30%
Desportiva Guarabira
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Desportiva Guarabira have won more games recently than Serrano PB.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Paraibano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Serrano PB Clean Sheet 13%
Desportiva Guarabira Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano PB Desportiva Guarabira
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2025 Paraibano 2
Serrano PB vs Desportiva Guarabira
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano PB 31 / 100
Desportiva Guarabira 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano PB Desportiva Guarabira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serrano PB found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Desportiva Guarabira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Serrano PB went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serrano PB VS Desportiva Guarabira
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano PB

(Home)
21 Sept
Serrano PB
5 : 1
Spartax
18 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
3 : 0
Serrano PB
15 Sept
Miramar EC
2 : 0
Serrano PB
11 Sept
Serrano PB
3 : 3
Atletico Cajazeirense
08 Sept
Serrano PB
1 : 2
Desportiva Guarabira
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Desportiva Guarabira

(Away)
05 Oct
Atletico Cajazeirense
3 : 2
Desportiva Guarabira
29 Sept
Desportiva Guarabira
2 : 2
Atletico Cajazeirense
25 Sept
Miramar EC
1 : 4
Desportiva Guarabira
21 Sept
Cruzeiro-PB
2 : 1
Desportiva Guarabira
17 Sept
Desportiva Guarabira
0 : 0
Confianca PB
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Cajazeirense961223:1019
2Cruzeiro-PB952215:1317
3Confianca PB944113:716
4Miramar EC943220:815
5Desportiva Guarabira943214:1115
6Sao Paulo Crystal942315:814
7Serrano PB932415:1511
8Spartax922515:238
9Queimadense92169:197
10Sabugy91086:313
Promotion - Paraibano 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 (Play Offs)