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Serrano PE vs 1º de Maio

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

1º de Maio in this Pernambucano 2 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored 1º de Maio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Serrano PE
20%
Draws
16%
1º de Maio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Serrano PE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to 1º de Maio lately — more wins on the board than Serrano PE.
  • Model gives Serrano PE a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors 1º de Maio here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Serrano PE Clean Sheet 14%
1º de Maio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano PE 1º de Maio
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 3 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 0.5 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.86 1.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2022 Pernambucano 2
1º de Maio vs Serrano PE
1:0
Sep 26, 2021 Pernambucano 2
1º de Maio vs Serrano PE
6:1
Sep 15, 2018 Pernambucano 2
1º de Maio vs Serrano PE
1:1
Sep 9, 2018 Pernambucano 2
Serrano PE vs 1º de Maio
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano PE 35 / 100
1º de Maio 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano PE 1º de Maio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: 1º de Maio conceded in 83% of 35 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: 1º de Maio registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Serrano PE found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Serrano PE VS 1º de Maio
0.6 Goals Scored 1.38
1.8 Goals Conceded 3.13
80% Over 1.5 100%
40% Over 2.5 100%
20% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano PE

(Home)
25 Nov
Serrano PE
1 : 2
Aguia FC
18 Nov
Cabense
4 : 0
Serrano PE
05 Nov
Serrano PE
0 : 2
Ypiranga
28 Oct
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Serrano PE
22 Oct
Serrano PE
1 : 1
Barreiros FC
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1º de Maio

(Away)
02 Nov
1º de Maio
0 : 2
Caruaru
27 Oct
Belo Jardim
2 : 1
1º de Maio
20 Oct
Pesqueira
1 : 1
1º de Maio
13 Oct
1º de Maio
1 : 3
America PE
08 Oct
Aguia FC
4 : 1
1º de Maio
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petrolina 6 5 1 0 8:2 16
2 1º de Maio 6 3 1 2 4:3 10
3 Serrano PE 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
4 Sete de Setembro (PE) 6 0 0 6 0:6 0
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CA Porto 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
2 Decisao 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
3 Ypiranga 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vera Cruz 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
2 Centro Limoeirense 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
3 Nautico 2 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
4 Timbauba FC 6 2 0 4 4:7 6
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Recife B 6 3 2 1 15:6 11
2 Ibis Sport Club 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 Cabense 6 2 2 2 10:13 8
4 Ferroviario do Cabo 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2018 (Play Offs)