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Serrano PE vs Caruaru - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2021 game between Serrano PE and Caruaru finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caruaru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Serrano PE
35%
Draws
39%
Caruaru
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caruaru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Caruaru carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Caruaru are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Serrano PE Clean Sheet 11%
Caruaru Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano PE Caruaru
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 3 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.5 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2021 Pernambucano 2
Serrano PE vs Caruaru
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano PE 14 / 100
Caruaru 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano PE Caruaru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caruaru Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caruaru let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Serrano PE found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Serrano PE remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Serrano PE VS Caruaru
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano PE

(Home)
25 Nov
Serrano PE
1 : 2
Aguia FC
18 Nov
Cabense
4 : 0
Serrano PE
05 Nov
Serrano PE
0 : 2
Ypiranga
28 Oct
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Serrano PE
22 Oct
Serrano PE
1 : 1
Barreiros FC
Page 1 of 6

Caruaru

(Away)
26 Oct
America PE
2 : 1
Caruaru
18 Oct
Caruaru
2 : 1
Aguia FC
08 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 1
Caruaru
04 Oct
Caruaru
0 : 0
CA Porto
27 Sept
Academica Vitoria
1 : 1
Caruaru
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America PE 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Ibis Sport Club 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
3 Ipojuca 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
4 Atletico PE 6 2 2 2 7:5 8
5 Ferroviario do Cabo 6 2 2 2 7:5 8
6 Centro Limoeirense 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
7 Cabense 6 0 1 5 4:20 1
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º de Maio 6 3 3 0 13:6 12
2 Ypiranga 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
3 Petrolina 6 3 2 1 12:5 11
4 Caruaru 6 3 2 1 10:3 11
5 Barreiros FC 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
6 Pesqueira 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
7 Serrano PE 6 0 1 5 2:23 1
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2021 (Second stage)