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Serrano PE vs Petrolina

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serrano PE play Petrolina in the Pernambucano 2 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Serrano PE averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Petrolina averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. In past meetings, Serrano PE won 1, Petrolina won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 9, 2022 ended 8:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Serrano PE and 0.93 for Petrolina. This points to a Petrolina double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Serrano PE
26%
Draws
45%
Petrolina
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Petrolina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Serrano PE picked up more points recently compared to Petrolina.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Serrano PE Clean Sheet 24%
Petrolina Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano PE Petrolina
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 5 12
Draws 8 13
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.67 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.18

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Petrolina vs Serrano PE
8:0
Sep 18, 2021 Pernambucano 2
Serrano PE vs Petrolina
0:3
Sep 23, 2018 Pernambucano 2
Petrolina vs Serrano PE
2:0
Sep 2, 2018 Pernambucano 2
Serrano PE vs Petrolina
2:2
Apr 19, 2009 Pernambucano
Serrano PE vs Petrolina
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano PE 31 / 100
Petrolina 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano PE Petrolina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Petrolina or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Serrano PE attacking → ← attacking Petrolina

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serrano PE scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Petrolina let in goals in 75% of their last 44 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Serrano PE went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Petrolina lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 49
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America PE63218:411
2Ibis Sport Club63217:311
3Ipojuca63216:311
4Atletico PE62227:58
5Ferroviario do Cabo62227:58
6Centro Limoeirense62137:67
7Cabense60154:201
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
11º de Maio633013:612
2Ypiranga632111:311
3Petrolina632112:511
4Caruaru632110:311
5Barreiros FC63129:410
6Pesqueira60153:161
7Serrano PE60152:231